🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6920
Jackpot Price
$274.88
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$248.40
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2260 (Weighted: 0.3767)
Input Cost
$26.48
Expected Value
$22.19
EV Ratio
83.8%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.12, float=0.13]
8 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($274.88, 10.4x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($33.00, 1.2x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($21.21, 0.8x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.58, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.32, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-22
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6916
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$556.01
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$93.99
Expected Value
$65.24
EV Ratio
69.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.72, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.28, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-20
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6914
Jackpot Price
$640.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$547.43
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.4030 (Weighted: 0.8393)
Input Cost
$92.57
Expected Value
$64.22
EV Ratio
69.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.30, float=0.25]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($640.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-02
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6913
Jackpot Price
$321.06
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$290.10
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3639)
Input Cost
$30.96
Expected Value
$25.85
EV Ratio
83.5%
Input Items
2 x Glock-18 Groundwater [Field-Tested, $15.36, float=0.25]
8 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($321.06, 10.4x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($40.39, 1.3x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($22.78, 0.7x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.46, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.31, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.27, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-03
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6910
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.94
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.06
Expected Value
$65.22
EV Ratio
69.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.79, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-27
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6910
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.94
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.06
Expected Value
$65.22
EV Ratio
69.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.79, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-28
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6908
Jackpot Price
$54.30
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$46.44
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x2)
The Fracture Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.4360)
Input Cost
$7.86
Expected Value
$7.74
EV Ratio
98.5%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Water Sigil [Field-Tested, $3.45, float=0.25]
8 x StatTrak™ SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.12, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested float 0.19 ($54.30, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Field-Tested float 0.22 ($16.49, 2.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAG-7 Monster Call Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.93, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Tec-9 Brother Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.89, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Connexion Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.80, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MP5-SD Kitbash Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.78, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Allure Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.75, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-20
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6902
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.83
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Dust 2 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.7852)
Input Cost
$94.17
Expected Value
$65.17
EV Ratio
69.2%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.90, float=0.13]
9 x Sawed-Off Snake Camo [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
30.0% → M4A1-S VariCamo Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.31, 0.0x)
30.0% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.12, 0.0x)
30.0% → PP-Bizon Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-26
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6901
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.81
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.19
Expected Value
$65.23
EV Ratio
69.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.92, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-25
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6901
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.81
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.19
Expected Value
$65.23
EV Ratio
69.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $93.92, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-25
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6895
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.73
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.27
Expected Value
$65.23
EV Ratio
69.2%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.00, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-24
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6895
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.73
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.27
Expected Value
$65.22
EV Ratio
69.2%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.00, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-23
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.6895
Jackpot Price
$1202.02
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$1027.70
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7950)
Input Cost
$174.32
Expected Value
$149.45
EV Ratio
85.7%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $85.00, float=0.05]
8 x Nova Wild Six [Battle-Scarred, $0.54, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($1202.02, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($253.94, 1.5x)
26.7% → AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.90, 0.0x)
26.7% → AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.83, 0.0x)
26.7% → USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($4.73, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-13
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6893
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.70
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$94.30
Expected Value
$65.24
EV Ratio
69.2%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.03, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($650.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.28, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-21
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6880
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$204.26
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.8149)
Input Cost
$34.74
Expected Value
$38.77
EV Ratio
111.6%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Pathfinder [Field-Tested, $17.25, float=0.25]
8 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.24 ($239.00, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.32 ($146.67, 4.2x)
20.0% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.73 ($0.27, 0.0x)
20.0% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.27, 0.0x)
20.0% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-25
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6880
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$204.26
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.8149)
Input Cost
$34.74
Expected Value
$38.77
EV Ratio
111.6%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Pathfinder [Field-Tested, $17.25, float=0.25]
8 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.24 ($239.00, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.32 ($146.67, 4.2x)
20.0% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.27, 0.0x)
20.0% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.26, 0.0x)
20.0% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.73 ($0.26, 0.0x)
20.0% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-25
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6879
Jackpot Price
$640.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$546.96
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.4030 (Weighted: 0.8393)
Input Cost
$93.04
Expected Value
$64.22
EV Ratio
69.0%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.77, float=0.25]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($640.00, 6.9x) 🎯
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-01
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6870
Jackpot Price
$54.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$46.14
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x2)
The Fever Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.4360)
Input Cost
$7.86
Expected Value
$7.90
EV Ratio
100.5%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Water Sigil [Field-Tested, $3.49, float=0.25]
8 x StatTrak™ MP9 Nexus [Well-Worn, $0.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested float 0.19 ($54.00, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Field-Tested float 0.22 ($16.85, 2.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Desert Eagle Serpent Strike Field-Tested float 0.25 ($1.22, 0.2x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Control Field-Tested float 0.35 ($1.01, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Zeus x27 Tosai Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.01, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Nova Rising Sun Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.95, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Wave Breaker Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.88, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-21
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6858
Jackpot Price
$319.31
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$272.75
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.5917)
Input Cost
$46.56
Expected Value
$37.62
EV Ratio
80.8%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $15.45, float=0.25]
7 x P90 Mustard Gas [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.05 ($319.31, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.05 ($32.26, 0.7x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.24 ($22.16, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.98, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.39, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.14, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-08
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6854
Jackpot Price
$64.79
Chance
7.5%
Multiplier
9.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$57.70
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x3)
The Dust 2 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3297)
Input Cost
$7.09
Expected Value
$6.30
EV Ratio
88.9%
Input Items
3 x P2000 Panther Camo [Field-Tested, $2.27, float=0.25]
7 x Five-SeveN Orange Peel [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
7.5% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.07 ($64.79, 9.1x) 🎯
7.5% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.20 ($6.44, 0.9x)
7.5% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.21 ($5.40, 0.8x)
7.5% → FAMAS Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.15 ($5.06, 0.7x)
23.3% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.29, 0.0x)
23.3% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
23.3% → PP-Bizon Brass Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-10
