π° High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in π high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7370
Jackpot Price
$650.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$561.80
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.2683)
Input Cost
$88.20
Expected Value
$65.34
EV Ratio
74.1%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.93, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Wall Bang [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.02 ($650.00, 7.4x) π―
22.5% β Glock-18 Teal Graf Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($0.47, 0.0x)
22.5% β MAC-10 Pipsqueak Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.38, 0.0x)
22.5% β Nova Wurst HΓΆlle Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.37, 0.0x)
22.5% β Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Field-Tested float 0.16 ($0.28, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-01
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7343
Jackpot Price
$647.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$559.41
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.6951)
Input Cost
$88.20
Expected Value
$65.03
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.93, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($647.61, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($0.72, 0.0x)
18.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Well-Worn float 0.38 ($0.42, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-02
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4313)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.85
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($1.06, 0.0x)
18.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.82
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.41, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.41, 0.0x)
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.35, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.35, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.35, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4313)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.86
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($1.11, 0.0x)
18.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.85
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.06, 0.0x)
18.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.58, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7310
Jackpot Price
$300.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$258.96
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Ascent Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3824)
Input Cost
$41.04
Expected Value
$35.70
EV Ratio
87.0%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $13.61, float=0.25]
7 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($300.00, 7.3x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($32.26, 0.8x)
10.0% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($22.80, 0.6x)
14.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.30, 0.0x)
14.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.28, 0.0x)
14.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.27, 0.0x)
14.0% β P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.26, 0.0x)
14.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-06
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7300
Jackpot Price
$631.53
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$545.02
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$86.51
Expected Value
$63.45
EV Ratio
73.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.15, float=0.13]
9 x M4A4 Naval Shred Camo [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($631.53, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.30, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-28
π° Jackpot
M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7292
Jackpot Price
$689.04
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$594.55
Collections
The Anubis Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified πΈ
Avg Input Float
<0.4450 (Weighted: 0.4450)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$110.57
EV Ratio
117.0%
Input Items
P250 Apep's Curse [Battle-Scarred, $57.50, float=0.67]
9 x P2000 Wicked Sick [Well-Worn, $4.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested float 0.31 ($689.04, 7.3x) π―
45.0% β M4A4 Temukau Field-Tested float 0.36 ($50.05, 0.5x)
45.0% β AK-47 Head Shot Well-Worn float 0.45 ($42.55, 0.5x)
Identified: 2026-06-12
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7283
Jackpot Price
$300.00
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$272.54
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.8490)
Input Cost
$27.46
Expected Value
$23.85
EV Ratio
86.9%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $13.61, float=0.25]
8 x Dual Berettas Rose Nacre [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($300.00, 10.9x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.07 ($32.26, 1.2x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.34 ($22.80, 0.8x)
16.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.23, 0.0x)
16.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.20, 0.0x)
16.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-06
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7259
Jackpot Price
$647.10
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$557.96
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4005)
Input Cost
$89.14
Expected Value
$65.04
EV Ratio
73.0%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $88.87, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Mustard Gas [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($647.10, 7.3x) π―
18.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.89, 0.0x)
18.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.51, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-30
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7257
Jackpot Price
$645.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$556.65
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$88.96
Expected Value
$64.83
EV Ratio
72.9%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $88.69, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.61, 7.3x) π―
15.0% β AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.47, 0.0x)
15.0% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% β P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% β MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.25, 0.0x)
15.0% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-01
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7257
Jackpot Price
$645.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$556.65
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$88.96
Expected Value
$64.83
EV Ratio
72.9%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $88.69, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.61, 7.3x) π―
15.0% β AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.49, 0.0x)
15.0% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% β P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% β MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.24, 0.0x)
15.0% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-01
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7255
Jackpot Price
$287.50
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$247.87
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Dust 2 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.6420)
Input Cost
$39.63
Expected Value
$34.39
EV Ratio
86.8%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.14, float=0.13]
7 x Sawed-Off Snake Camo [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.05 ($287.50, 7.3x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.05 ($34.19, 0.9x)
10.0% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.26 ($20.76, 0.5x)
23.3% β M4A1-S VariCamo Well-Worn float 0.39 ($0.36, 0.0x)
23.3% β SG 553 Damascus Steel Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.13, 0.0x)
23.3% β PP-Bizon Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.87
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) π―
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$339.67
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$308.39
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8795)
Input Cost
$31.28
Expected Value
$28.16
EV Ratio
90.0%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.48, float=0.67]
8 x Galil AR O-Ranger [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($339.67, 10.9x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($55.57, 1.8x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($23.55, 0.8x)
13.3% β AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.57, 0.0x)
13.3% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.26, 0.0x)
13.3% β MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% β P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-19
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3949)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.86
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) π―
15.0% β AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.50, 0.0x)
15.0% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.38, 0.0x)
15.0% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% β P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% β MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7234
Jackpot Price
$629.63
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$542.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.04
Expected Value
$63.28
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.68, float=0.13]
9 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($629.63, 7.2x) π―
15.0% β AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.57, 0.0x)
15.0% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.43, 0.0x)
15.0% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% β MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% β P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-24
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7223
Jackpot Price
$287.33
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$260.81
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Boreal Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2260 (Weighted: 0.3510)
Input Cost
$26.52
Expected Value
$23.43
EV Ratio
88.4%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.14, float=0.13]
8 x R8 Revolver Leafhopper [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($287.33, 10.8x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($34.19, 1.3x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($25.65, 1.0x)
16.0% β AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.96, 0.0x)
16.0% β USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.41, 0.0x)
16.0% β MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.15, 0.0x)
16.0% β XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.14, 0.0x)
16.0% β MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.7971)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.48
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Sour Grapes [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($632.29, 7.2x) π―
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.30, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29