Best Low Float Trade-Ups in CS2 (August 2026)
Contracts that land Factory New and Minimal Wear outputs
By chod on August 31, 2026
Low float trade-ups are where the real money is. The same output skin can be worth three or four times more in Factory New than in Field-Tested, and the only thing that decides which one you get is the average float of your ten inputs. Every contract below is currently predicted to produce a Minimal Wear or better output.
Key takeaways
- Lowest predicted output float in this round-up: 0.0400.
- Every contract here lands Minimal Wear or better (float under 0.15) on its most likely outcome.
- Best return on investment: 13%, from $195.92 upwards.
- Output float is the average of your ten input floats scaled into the output skin's own float range, so low-float inputs are the whole game.
| # | Most likely output | Cost | Expected value | Profit | ROI | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UMP-45 Fade (Factory New) | $195.92 | $197.62 | $1.70 | 1% | 60% |
| 2 | UMP-45 Fade (Factory New) | $223.54 | $226.19 | $2.65 | 1% | 70% |
| 3 | UMP-45 Fade (Factory New) | $253.40 | $254.77 | $1.37 | 1% | 80% |
| 4 | UMP-45 Fade (Factory New) | $224.68 | $253.08 | $28.40 | 13% | 80% |
| 5 | UMP-45 Fade (Factory New) | $197.48 | $223.16 | $25.68 | 13% | 70% |
🥇 #1: UMP-45 Fade (Factory New)
ROI: 1% · Net profit: $1.70 · Odds to profit: 60%
- Total input cost: $195.92
- Expected value: $197.62
- Average input float: 0.486
- Collection(s): The Breakout Collection (x4), The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x6)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
4x P250 Supernova (Minimal Wear, $3.02 each, float 0.120) — buy
6x MAC-10 Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred, $30.64 each, float 0.730) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 30.0% → UMP-45 Fade (Factory New, float 0.040, $290.61)
- ✅ 30.0% → SSG 08 Death Strike (Well-Worn, float 0.450, $333.08)
- ❌ 13.3% → Five-SeveN Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred, float 0.560, $24.22)
- ❌ 13.3% → Glock-18 Water Elemental (Well-Worn, float 0.390, $28.88)
- ❌ 13.3% → Desert Eagle Conspiracy (Field-Tested, float 0.170, $25.93)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥈 #2: UMP-45 Fade (Factory New)
ROI: 1% · Net profit: $2.65 · Odds to profit: 70%
- Total input cost: $223.54
- Expected value: $226.19
- Average input float: 0.505
- Collection(s): The Breakout Collection (x3), The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x7)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
What you can get out
- ✅ 35.0% → UMP-45 Fade (Factory New, float 0.040, $290.61)
- ✅ 35.0% → SSG 08 Death Strike (Well-Worn, float 0.450, $333.08)
- ❌ 10.0% → Five-SeveN Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred, float 0.560, $24.22)
- ❌ 10.0% → Glock-18 Water Elemental (Well-Worn, float 0.390, $28.88)
- ❌ 10.0% → Desert Eagle Conspiracy (Field-Tested, float 0.170, $25.93)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
🥉 #3: UMP-45 Fade (Factory New)
ROI: 1% · Net profit: $1.37 · Odds to profit: 80%
- Total input cost: $253.40
- Expected value: $254.77
- Average input float: 0.538
- Collection(s): The Breakout Collection (x2), The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x8)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
2x Nova Koi (Factory New, $4.14 each, float 0.050) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 40.0% → UMP-45 Fade (Factory New, float 0.040, $290.61)
- ✅ 40.0% → SSG 08 Death Strike (Well-Worn, float 0.450, $333.08)
- ❌ 6.7% → Five-SeveN Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred, float 0.560, $24.22)
- ❌ 6.7% → Glock-18 Water Elemental (Well-Worn, float 0.390, $28.88)
- ❌ 6.7% → Desert Eagle Conspiracy (Field-Tested, float 0.170, $25.93)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
#4: UMP-45 Fade (Factory New)
ROI: 13% · Net profit: $28.40 · Odds to profit: 80%
- Total input cost: $224.68
- Expected value: $253.08
- Average input float: 0.192
- Collection(s): The Wildfire Collection (x2), The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x8)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
2x MAG-7 Praetorian (Well-Worn, $2.34 each, float 0.440) — buy
8x USP-S Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear, $27.50 each, float 0.130) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 40.0% → UMP-45 Fade (Factory New, float 0.040, $290.61)
- ✅ 40.0% → SSG 08 Death Strike (Well-Worn, float 0.380, $333.08)
- ❌ 6.7% → AWP Elite Build (Battle-Scarred, float 0.480, $13.98)
- ❌ 6.7% → Nova Hyper Beast (Field-Tested, float 0.290, $16.82)
- ❌ 6.7% → Desert Eagle Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested, float 0.360, $23.03)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
#5: UMP-45 Fade (Factory New)
ROI: 13% · Net profit: $25.68 · Odds to profit: 70%
- Total input cost: $197.48
- Expected value: $223.16
- Average input float: 0.336
- Collection(s): The Chroma 3 Collection (x3), The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x7)
- Rarity: Restricted → Classified
What you put in (10 skins)
3x SSG 08 Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred, $1.66 each, float 0.840) — buy
What you can get out
- ✅ 35.0% → UMP-45 Fade (Factory New, float 0.040, $290.61)
- ✅ 35.0% → SSG 08 Death Strike (Well-Worn, float 0.380, $333.08)
- ❌ 10.0% → P250 Asiimov (Battle-Scarred, float 0.530, $15.65)
- ❌ 10.0% → UMP-45 Primal Saber (Field-Tested, float 0.370, $17.06)
- ❌ 10.0% → AUG Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred, float 0.480, $16.00)
Open this contract in the CS2 trade-up calculator »
How output float is calculated
Each input is first normalised inside its own float range:
normalised = (input float − skin minimum float) ÷ (skin maximum float − skin minimum float)
Those normalised values are averaged, then mapped into the output skin's float range:
output float = average × output float range + output minimum float
The practical consequence is that a skin with a restricted float range is a cheat code. An input whose float range starts at 0.25 normalises to 0.00 when you buy it at 0.25, even though 0.25 looks like a Field-Tested float. That is how the cheapest Factory New trade-ups are built.
| Condition | Float range | Why it matters for trade-ups |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 – 0.07 | Highest price by a wide margin. Needs a very low average input float. |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 – 0.15 | The realistic target for most contracts and still a big price premium. |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 – 0.38 | Where most trade-ups land by default. Cheap inputs, cheap outputs. |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 – 0.45 | Usually only worth targeting on skins with restricted float ranges. |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 – 1.00 | Occasionally valuable on skins where BS is the rarest wear. |
Finding low float inputs
Steam's market does not let you filter by float, which is why float hunting happens on third-party sites. CSFloat lets you search a precise float range and is the fastest way to assemble a low-float contract; Tradeit.gg is better when you need ten copies of the same cheap skin quickly.
Once you have candidates, drop them into the CS2 trade-up calculator — it shows the predicted output float and condition live as you change each input.
Where to buy the input skins
Input prices decide whether a contract is profitable, so it is worth checking two or three marketplaces before you buy. Tradeit.gg is the fastest for bulk buying cheap inputs, CSFloat is the best place to hunt a specific float, and Skinport usually wins on fees when you sell the output.
Frequently asked questions
What is a low float trade-up in CS2?
A contract built from inputs with low float values so the output lands in a better condition. Because the output float is the average of the inputs scaled into the output's range, ten low-float inputs produce a low-float output, which is usually worth substantially more.
Can you get Factory New from a trade-up?
Yes. You need an average normalised input float low enough that it maps below 0.07 in the output's float range. The best contract on this page is currently predicted to produce a 0.0400 float output. Skins whose float range does not start at 0.00 make this much easier.
Do low float inputs cost more?
Usually, but not always proportionally. The float premium is priced aggressively on popular skins and barely at all on cheap ones, and that gap is exactly where low-float trade-up profit comes from.
Does StatTrak change the float maths?
No. StatTrak inputs must be matched with StatTrak inputs and produce a StatTrak output, but the float calculation is identical.
Keep reading
- CS2 trade-up calculator
- CS2 trade-ups under $5
- Best CS2 trade-ups under $10
- 100% profit CS2 trade-ups
- CS2 trade-ups with 10% profit
- CS2 restricted trade-ups
- CS2 trade-up calculator: float
- Live profitable trade-ups
- Open the calculator
Ready to find your next profitable trade-up?
Trade Up Lab tracks profitable CS2 trade-up contracts in real time, with live prices, float calculations and profit odds worked out for you.
Disclaimer: Trade-up contracts involve risk and prices move quickly. Figures in this article reflect market data at the time of writing and are not financial advice. Always double-check prices before committing skins. Some links are affiliate links that support Trade Up Lab at no extra cost to you.
