π° High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in π high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
π° Jackpot
MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested
Lottery Score
1.1997
Jackpot Price
$1093.44
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
12.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$1002.30
Collections
The Canals Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.2670 (Weighted: 0.3653)
Input Cost
$91.14
Expected Value
$113.96
EV Ratio
125.0%
Input Items
MAC-10 Red Filigree [Well-Worn, $86.28, float=0.42]
9 x Nova Wild Six [Field-Tested, $0.54, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1093.44, 12.0x) π―
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Field-Tested float 0.37 ($5.48, 0.1x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Field-Tested float 0.23 ($5.08, 0.1x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Field-Tested float 0.23 ($4.84, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-16
π° Jackpot
MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested
Lottery Score
1.1997
Jackpot Price
$1093.44
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
12.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$1002.30
Collections
The Canals Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.2670 (Weighted: 0.3653)
Input Cost
$91.14
Expected Value
$113.96
EV Ratio
125.0%
Input Items
MAC-10 Red Filigree [Well-Worn, $86.28, float=0.42]
9 x Nova Wild Six [Field-Tested, $0.54, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1093.44, 12.0x) π―
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Field-Tested float 0.37 ($5.48, 0.1x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Field-Tested float 0.23 ($5.08, 0.1x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Field-Tested float 0.23 ($4.84, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-17
π° Jackpot
MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested
Lottery Score
1.1997
Jackpot Price
$1093.44
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
12.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$1002.30
Collections
The Canals Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.2670 (Weighted: 0.3653)
Input Cost
$91.14
Expected Value
$113.96
EV Ratio
125.0%
Input Items
MAC-10 Red Filigree [Well-Worn, $86.28, float=0.42]
9 x Nova Wild Six [Field-Tested, $0.54, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1093.44, 12.0x) π―
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Field-Tested float 0.37 ($5.48, 0.1x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Field-Tested float 0.23 ($5.08, 0.1x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Field-Tested float 0.23 ($4.84, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-16
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
1.0235
Jackpot Price
$404.70
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
15.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$378.34
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6200 (Weighted: 0.8855)
Input Cost
$26.36
Expected Value
$32.10
EV Ratio
121.8%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Well-Worn, $13.06, float=0.42]
8 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($404.70, 15.4x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($53.60, 2.0x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($20.39, 0.8x)
16.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.27, 0.0x)
16.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.24, 0.0x)
16.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.21, 0.0x)
16.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-27
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.9903
Jackpot Price
$404.65
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
14.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$377.41
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6200 (Weighted: 0.8855)
Input Cost
$27.24
Expected Value
$32.23
EV Ratio
118.3%
Input Items
2 x Glock-18 Groundwater [Well-Worn, $13.50, float=0.42]
8 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($404.65, 14.9x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($54.79, 2.0x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($21.04, 0.8x)
16.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.27, 0.0x)
16.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.26, 0.0x)
16.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.24, 0.0x)
16.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.23, 0.0x)
16.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-14
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.9468
Jackpot Price
$399.00
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
6.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$335.79
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.4967)
Input Cost
$63.21
Expected Value
$89.06
EV Ratio
140.9%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $19.81, float=0.25]
7 x Five-SeveN Hybrid [Well-Worn, $0.54, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.40 ($399.00, 6.3x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.27 ($171.61, 2.7x)
23.3% β M4A1-S Black Lotus Field-Tested float 0.35 ($6.33, 0.1x)
23.3% β Zeus x27 Olympus Field-Tested float 0.33 ($4.41, 0.1x)
23.3% β USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.11, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-17
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.9388
Jackpot Price
$404.70
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
14.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$375.96
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8795)
Input Cost
$28.74
Expected Value
$32.21
EV Ratio
112.1%
Input Items
2 x Glock-18 Groundwater [Battle-Scarred, $14.21, float=0.67]
8 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($404.70, 14.1x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($53.60, 1.9x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($22.16, 0.8x)
16.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.24, 0.0x)
16.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.21, 0.0x)
16.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.20, 0.0x)
16.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-27
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8986
Jackpot Price
$416.48
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
6.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$346.96
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Snakebite Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5413)
Input Cost
$69.52
Expected Value
$92.73
EV Ratio
133.4%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Battle-Scarred, $21.96, float=0.67]
7 x MAC-10 Button Masher [Well-Worn, $0.52, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.43 ($416.48, 6.0x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($180.39, 2.6x)
23.3% β XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($4.71, 0.1x)
23.3% β MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($4.62, 0.1x)
23.3% β Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($4.38, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-11
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8809
Jackpot Price
$413.62
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$343.19
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.43
Expected Value
$91.54
EV Ratio
130.0%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.24, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($413.62, 5.9x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($171.60, 2.4x)
23.3% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.57, 0.1x)
23.3% β Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.52, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.03, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-13
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8809
Jackpot Price
$413.62
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$343.19
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.43
Expected Value
$91.54
EV Ratio
130.0%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.24, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($413.62, 5.9x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($171.60, 2.4x)
23.3% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.57, 0.1x)
23.3% β Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.52, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.03, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-13
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8806
Jackpot Price
$409.23
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.52
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Snakebite Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$69.71
Expected Value
$93.01
EV Ratio
133.4%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.00, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Button Masher [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($409.23, 5.9x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($189.99, 2.7x)
23.3% β Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($4.56, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($4.46, 0.1x)
23.3% β MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($4.40, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-21
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8793
Jackpot Price
$409.24
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.43
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.4967)
Input Cost
$69.81
Expected Value
$90.46
EV Ratio
129.6%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $22.01, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Well-Worn, $0.54, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.40 ($409.24, 5.9x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.27 ($170.00, 2.4x)
23.3% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Field-Tested float 0.36 ($5.29, 0.1x)
23.3% β Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.37 ($5.12, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.25 ($4.90, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-22
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8749
Jackpot Price
$409.24
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.08
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.16
Expected Value
$92.49
EV Ratio
131.8%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.22, float=0.25]
7 x Tec-9 Brother [Battle-Scarred, $0.50, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($409.24, 5.8x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($183.39, 2.6x)
23.3% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.30, 0.1x)
23.3% β Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.11, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.02, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-23
π° Jackpot
Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New
Lottery Score
0.8617
Jackpot Price
$133.05
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
17.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$125.33
Collections
The Arms Deal 3 Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec π
Avg Input Float
<0.2840 (Weighted: 0.3200)
Input Cost
$7.72
Expected Value
$11.04
EV Ratio
143.0%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Red FragCam [Well-Worn, $3.50, float=0.42]
8 x MP9 Featherweight [Field-Tested, $0.09, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New float 0.06 ($133.05, 17.2x) π―
5.0% β Five-SeveN Copper Galaxy Factory New float 0.06 ($47.39, 6.1x)
5.0% β CZ75-Auto Tread Plate Factory New float 0.06 ($17.50, 2.3x)
5.0% β Desert Eagle Heirloom Field-Tested float 0.26 ($13.66, 1.8x)
16.0% β M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.66, 0.1x)
16.0% β R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.59, 0.1x)
16.0% β Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.1x)
16.0% β P90 Neoqueen Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.54, 0.1x)
16.0% β MAC-10 Sakkaku Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.52, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-09
π° Jackpot
AWP Exothermic Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8490
Jackpot Price
$5.66
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$4.66
Collections
The Harlequin Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec π
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5811)
Input Cost
$1.00
Expected Value
$1.46
EV Ratio
145.8%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 Warm Blooded [Battle-Scarred, $0.24, float=0.67]
7 x SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β AWP Exothermic Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.66, 5.7x) π―
15.0% β USP-S Sleeping Potion Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.79, 1.8x)
14.0% β Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.58, 0.6x)
14.0% β MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% β MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% β MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.50, 0.5x)
14.0% β Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.21, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
π° Jackpot
AWP Exothermic Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8490
Jackpot Price
$5.66
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$4.66
Collections
The Harlequin Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec π
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5811)
Input Cost
$1.00
Expected Value
$1.46
EV Ratio
145.8%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 Warm Blooded [Battle-Scarred, $0.24, float=0.67]
7 x SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β AWP Exothermic Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.66, 5.7x) π―
15.0% β USP-S Sleeping Potion Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.79, 1.8x)
14.0% β Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.58, 0.6x)
14.0% β MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% β MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% β MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.50, 0.5x)
14.0% β Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.21, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.8475
Jackpot Price
$286.53
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$252.72
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Radiant Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2140 (Weighted: 0.3567)
Input Cost
$33.81
Expected Value
$35.58
EV Ratio
105.2%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $11.20, float=0.13]
7 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($286.53, 8.5x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($42.43, 1.3x)
10.0% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($24.55, 0.7x)
11.7% β AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.58, 0.0x)
11.7% β Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.38, 0.0x)
11.7% β P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.27, 0.0x)
11.7% β MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.26, 0.0x)
11.7% β M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.26, 0.0x)
11.7% β SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-23
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8473
Jackpot Price
$406.32
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$334.39
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.5175)
Input Cost
$71.93
Expected Value
$92.11
EV Ratio
128.1%
Input Items
3 x AUG Sand Storm [Field-Tested, $22.74, float=0.25]
7 x MP5-SD Kitbash [Well-Worn, $0.53, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.41 ($406.32, 5.6x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.28 ($183.03, 2.5x)
23.3% β Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.39 ($5.70, 0.1x)
23.3% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.38 ($5.12, 0.1x)
23.3% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.26 ($5.09, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8405
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$636.00
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.9301)
Input Cost
$85.89
Expected Value
$72.41
EV Ratio
84.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $85.62, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 8.4x) π―
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.26, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.24, 0.0x)
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-14
π° Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8399
Jackpot Price
$406.32
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$333.75
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.4967)
Input Cost
$72.57
Expected Value
$90.85
EV Ratio
125.2%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $23.00, float=0.25]
7 x MP7 Just Smile [Well-Worn, $0.51, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% β Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.40 ($406.32, 5.6x) π―
15.0% β MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.27 ($174.20, 2.4x)
23.3% β M4A1-S Black Lotus Field-Tested float 0.35 ($6.50, 0.1x)
23.3% β Zeus x27 Olympus Field-Tested float 0.33 ($5.13, 0.1x)
23.3% β USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.55, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16