Trade Ups
Profitable trade-up opportunities identified by the algorithm
How to find profitable CS2 trade-up contracts
Every contract below is a live CS2 trade-up opportunity scored by our algorithm. Each card shows the input skins, the possible outcomes, and the numbers that matter so you can decide whether a trade-up is worth it before you commit any skins. Prefer to build your own? Test any combination in the CS2 trade-up calculator.
Filters
Narrow the list by input cost, collection, rarity and StatTrak™, then set a Min. Profit % and Min. Success % to surface only the contracts that fit your budget and risk appetite. Sort by highest profit, expected value or lowest risk to rank results your way.
Profit %
The profit percentage compares the total cost of the ten input skins against the expected value of the outcome, after fees. A higher profit % means a larger expected return per contract, though it usually comes with more risk.
Success rate
The success rate is the combined probability of landing an outcome worth more than your inputs. Trade-ups are weighted by collection, so pair a strong success rate with a healthy profit % to keep long-run results in your favour.
Live pricing
Input costs and outcome values use live market prices, and the Buy button on every skin opens up-to-date listings across Skinflow, CSFloat, Steam and more so you can source inputs at the best price.
Collections:
The Revolution Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.0690)
Input Cost:
$29.00
Expected Value:
$35.36
Profit:
$6.36
Profitability:
121.92%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ MAC-10 Sakkaku [Field-Tested, $2.90, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ P2000 Wicked Sick Factory New float 0.07 ($33.75)
33.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 Wild Child Factory New float 0.07 ($31.34)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Duality Factory New float 0.06 ($40.98)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Genesis Collection (x1)
The Fever Collection (x9)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0693)
Input Cost:
$54.95
Expected Value:
$66.24
Profit:
$11.29
Profitability:
120.54%
Success Rate:
63.3%
Input Items
Nova Ocular [Factory New, $8.33, float=0.05]
9 x Zeus x27 Tosai [Factory New, $5.18, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
30.0% → Glock-18 Shinobu Factory New float 0.07 ($70.50)
30.0% → UMP-45 K.O. Factory Factory New float 0.07 ($48.77)
30.0% → AK-47 Searing Rage Factory New float 0.07 ($79.50)
3.3% → AWP Ice Coaled Factory New float 0.07 ($75.25)
3.3% → Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Factory New float 0.07 ($60.23)
3.3% → MP7 Smoking Kills Factory New float 0.07 ($62.68)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Safehouse Collection (x1)
The Chop Shop Collection (x9)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.7470 (Weighted: 0.9778)
Input Cost:
$360.53
Expected Value:
$432.73
Profit:
$72.20
Profitability:
120.03%
Success Rate:
90.0%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Silver Quartz [Field-Tested, $0.17, float=0.36]
9 x Five-SeveN Nitro [Battle-Scarred, $40.04, float=0.79]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Nitro Battle-Scarred float 0.78 ($0.66)
45.0% → Dual Berettas Duelist Battle-Scarred float 0.98 ($415.50)
45.0% → SG 553 Bulldozer Battle-Scarred float 0.78 ($545.97)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Spectrum 2 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0694)
Input Cost:
$48.60
Expected Value:
$59.01
Profit:
$10.41
Profitability:
121.43%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x XM1014 Ziggy [Factory New, $4.86, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → M4A1-S Leaded Glass Factory New float 0.05 ($81.04)
33.3% → PP-Bizon High Roller Factory New float 0.07 ($80.00)
33.3% → R8 Revolver Llama Cannon Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($16.00)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Boreal Collection (x7)
The Gamma Collection (x3)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0883)
Input Cost:
$15.96
Expected Value:
$19.24
Profit:
$3.28
Profitability:
120.56%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
7 x MP5-SD Gold Leaf [Factory New, $1.92, float=0.05]
3 x Nova Exo [Factory New, $0.84, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
6.0% → R8 Revolver Reboot Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($4.41)
6.0% → AWP Phobos Factory New float 0.04 ($7.90)
6.0% → Sawed-Off Limelight Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($4.52)
6.0% → AUG Aristocrat Factory New float 0.06 ($10.67)
6.0% → P90 Chopper Factory New float 0.05 ($7.64)
35.0% → M4A4 Sheet Lightning Factory New float 0.07 ($29.71)
35.0% → Glock-18 Glockingbird Factory New float 0.06 ($19.24)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.7600 (Weighted: 0.9870)
Input Cost:
$150.30
Expected Value:
$186.30
Profit:
$36.00
Profitability:
123.95%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber [Battle-Scarred, $15.03, float=0.76]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Battle-Scarred float 0.98 ($180.14)
50.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($192.46)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Vanguard Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.8400 (Weighted: 0.8400)
Input Cost:
$145.80
Expected Value:
$239.44
Profit:
$93.63
Profitability:
164.22%
Success Rate:
50.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Cardiac [Battle-Scarred, $14.58, float=0.84]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ P2000 Fire Elemental Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($115.00)
50.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Wasteland Rebel Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($363.87)
Identified: 2026-03-06
Collections:
The Spectrum Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0883)
Input Cost:
$16.05
Expected Value:
$19.32
Profit:
$3.27
Profitability:
120.40%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
3 x PP-Bizon Jungle Slipstream [Factory New, $0.87, float=0.05]
7 x MP5-SD Gold Leaf [Factory New, $1.92, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
6.0% → M249 Emerald Poison Dart Factory New float 0.04 ($4.83)
6.0% → Galil AR Crimson Tsunami Factory New float 0.05 ($14.97)
6.0% → XM1014 Seasons Factory New float 0.04 ($5.00)
6.0% → UMP-45 Scaffold Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($3.22)
6.0% → MAC-10 Last Dive Factory New float 0.05 ($9.20)
35.0% → M4A4 Sheet Lightning Factory New float 0.07 ($29.93)
35.0% → Glock-18 Glockingbird Factory New float 0.06 ($18.90)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.7600 (Weighted: 0.9870)
Input Cost:
$154.70
Expected Value:
$186.64
Profit:
$31.94
Profitability:
120.65%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber [Battle-Scarred, $15.47, float=0.76]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Battle-Scarred float 0.98 ($179.92)
50.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($193.36)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Spectrum Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.4400 (Weighted: 0.9778)
Input Cost:
$34.20
Expected Value:
$42.18
Profit:
$7.98
Profitability:
123.32%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ M249 Emerald Poison Dart [Well-Worn, $3.42, float=0.44]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Decimator Battle-Scarred float 0.83 ($48.56)
33.3% → StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Xiangliu Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($33.50)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Fever Dream Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($44.47)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Radiant Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.3600 (Weighted: 0.6000)
Input Cost:
$5.00
Expected Value:
$6.09
Profit:
$1.09
Profitability:
121.87%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x MP9 Shredded [Field-Tested, $0.50, float=0.36]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → M4A1-S Glitched Paint Well-Worn float 0.40 ($7.04)
33.3% → Desert Eagle Mulberry Well-Worn float 0.45 ($7.44)
33.3% → USP-S Bleeding Edge Field-Tested float 0.36 ($3.80)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x8)
The Genesis Collection (x2)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3580 (Weighted: 0.3685)
Input Cost:
$13.60
Expected Value:
$16.76
Profit:
$3.16
Profitability:
123.26%
Success Rate:
73.3%
Input Items
8 x StatTrak™ P90 Wave Breaker [Field-Tested, $1.26, float=0.25]
2 x StatTrak™ Dual Berettas Angel Eyes [Battle-Scarred, $1.76, float=0.79]
Possible Outcomes
26.7% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.37 ($15.69)
26.7% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.37 ($9.60)
26.7% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.37 ($17.31)
6.7% → StatTrak™ AWP Ice Coaled Field-Tested float 0.37 ($32.47)
6.7% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Field-Tested float 0.37 ($21.13)
6.7% → StatTrak™ MP7 Smoking Kills Field-Tested float 0.37 ($27.46)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Vanguard Collection (x7)
The Spectrum Collection (x3)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.7200 (Weighted: 0.8237)
Input Cost:
$189.66
Expected Value:
$285.77
Profit:
$96.11
Profitability:
150.67%
Success Rate:
50.0%
Input Items
7 x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Cardiac [Battle-Scarred, $14.67, float=0.84]
3 x StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Xiangliu [Well-Worn, $28.99, float=0.44]
Possible Outcomes
35.0% → StatTrak™ P2000 Fire Elemental Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($115.00)
35.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Wasteland Rebel Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($367.03)
15.0% → StatTrak™ USP-S Neo-Noir Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($137.92)
15.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Bloodsport Well-Worn float 0.37 ($642.45)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.7400 (Weighted: 0.7400)
Input Cost:
$144.50
Expected Value:
$182.46
Profit:
$37.96
Profitability:
126.27%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ AUG Fleet Flock [Battle-Scarred, $14.45, float=0.74]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Battle-Scarred float 0.73 ($179.92)
50.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Field-Tested float 0.37 ($185.00)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.4400 (Weighted: 0.5714)
Input Cost:
$142.00
Expected Value:
$182.46
Profit:
$40.46
Profitability:
128.49%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber [Well-Worn, $14.20, float=0.44]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($179.92)
50.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Field-Tested float 0.29 ($185.00)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Vanguard Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.8400 (Weighted: 0.8400)
Input Cost:
$146.70
Expected Value:
$241.01
Profit:
$94.31
Profitability:
164.29%
Success Rate:
50.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Cardiac [Battle-Scarred, $14.67, float=0.84]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ P2000 Fire Elemental Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($115.00)
50.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Wasteland Rebel Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($367.03)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Fracture Collection (x3)
The Genesis Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.3690)
Input Cost:
$17.25
Expected Value:
$21.70
Profit:
$4.45
Profitability:
125.78%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ MAC-10 Allure [Field-Tested, $0.99, float=0.25]
7 x StatTrak™ Dual Berettas Angel Eyes [Well-Worn, $2.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.18 ($6.96)
10.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Vogue Field-Tested float 0.28 ($10.20)
10.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 Tooth Fairy Field-Tested float 0.27 ($11.19)
23.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Ice Coaled Field-Tested float 0.37 ($32.25)
23.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Field-Tested float 0.37 ($21.13)
23.3% → StatTrak™ MP7 Smoking Kills Field-Tested float 0.37 ($27.46)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.4300 (Weighted: 0.4300)
Input Cost:
$5.50
Expected Value:
$6.61
Profit:
$1.11
Profitability:
120.12%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x Nova Wurst Hölle [Well-Worn, $0.55, float=0.43]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → XM1014 Monster Melt Field-Tested float 0.32 ($6.59)
33.3% → Dual Berettas Sweet Little Angels Field-Tested float 0.35 ($6.61)
33.3% → AUG Eye of Zapems Field-Tested float 0.37 ($6.62)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.4300 (Weighted: 0.4300)
Input Cost:
$5.50
Expected Value:
$6.61
Profit:
$1.11
Profitability:
120.12%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x Nova Wurst Hölle [Well-Worn, $0.55, float=0.43]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → XM1014 Monster Melt Field-Tested float 0.32 ($6.59)
33.3% → Dual Berettas Sweet Little Angels Field-Tested float 0.35 ($6.61)
33.3% → AUG Eye of Zapems Field-Tested float 0.37 ($6.62)
Identified: 2026-03-05
Collections:
The Genesis Collection (x2)
The Boreal Collection (x8)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.0660 (Weighted: 0.0927)
Input Cost:
$16.12
Expected Value:
$20.13
Profit:
$4.01
Profitability:
124.89%
Success Rate:
80.0%
Input Items
2 x AUG Trigger Discipline [Minimal Wear, $0.46, float=0.13]
8 x MP5-SD Gold Leaf [Factory New, $1.90, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
40.0% → M4A4 Sheet Lightning Factory New float 0.07 ($29.64)
40.0% → Glock-18 Glockingbird Factory New float 0.06 ($18.68)
4.0% → Dual Berettas Angel Eyes Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($2.58)
4.0% → M4A1-S Liquidation Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($9.66)
4.0% → MAC-10 Cat Fight Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($2.64)
4.0% → Nova Ocular Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($2.58)
4.0% → UMP-45 Continuum Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($2.65)
Identified: 2026-03-05
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