Trade Ups
Profitable trade-up opportunities identified by the algorithm
How to find profitable CS2 trade-up contracts
Every contract below is a live CS2 trade-up opportunity scored by our algorithm. Each card shows the input skins, the possible outcomes, and the numbers that matter so you can decide whether a trade-up is worth it before you commit any skins. Prefer to build your own? Test any combination in the CS2 trade-up calculator.
Filters
Narrow the list by input cost, collection, rarity and StatTrak™, then set a Min. Profit % and Min. Success % to surface only the contracts that fit your budget and risk appetite. Sort by highest profit, expected value or lowest risk to rank results your way.
Profit %
The profit percentage compares the total cost of the ten input skins against the expected value of the outcome, after fees. A higher profit % means a larger expected return per contract, though it usually comes with more risk.
Success rate
The success rate is the combined probability of landing an outcome worth more than your inputs. Trade-ups are weighted by collection, so pair a strong success rate with a healthy profit % to keep long-run results in your favour.
Live pricing
Input costs and outcome values use live market prices, and the Buy button on every skin opens up-to-date listings across Skinflow, CSFloat, Steam and more so you can source inputs at the best price.
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x4)
The Fever Collection (x6)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3700 (Weighted: 0.3700)
Input Cost:
$13.74
Expected Value:
$16.57
Profit:
$2.83
Profitability:
120.62%
Success Rate:
80.0%
Input Items
4 x StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Red Astor [Field-Tested, $1.80, float=0.28]
6 x StatTrak™ Nova Rising Sun [Well-Worn, $1.09, float=0.43]
Possible Outcomes
13.3% → StatTrak™ P250 Asiimov Well-Worn float 0.43 ($23.03)
13.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber Field-Tested float 0.28 ($17.19)
13.3% → StatTrak™ AUG Fleet Flock Field-Tested float 0.37 ($17.67)
20.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.37 ($16.52)
20.0% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.37 ($9.32)
20.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.37 ($18.43)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x3)
The Fever Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.3690)
Input Cost:
$13.03
Expected Value:
$16.12
Profit:
$3.09
Profitability:
123.70%
Success Rate:
76.7%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Red Astor [Field-Tested, $1.80, float=0.25]
7 x StatTrak™ Nova Rising Sun [Well-Worn, $1.09, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Asiimov Well-Worn float 0.43 ($23.03)
10.0% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber Field-Tested float 0.28 ($17.19)
10.0% → StatTrak™ AUG Fleet Flock Field-Tested float 0.37 ($17.67)
23.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.37 ($16.52)
23.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.37 ($9.32)
23.3% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.37 ($18.43)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x9)
The Genesis Collection (x1)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0693)
Input Cost:
$53.20
Expected Value:
$65.82
Profit:
$12.62
Profitability:
123.72%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
9 x Zeus x27 Tosai [Factory New, $4.99, float=0.05]
Nova Ocular [Factory New, $8.29, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
30.0% → Glock-18 Shinobu Factory New float 0.07 ($72.16)
30.0% → UMP-45 K.O. Factory Factory New float 0.07 ($46.88)
30.0% → AK-47 Searing Rage Factory New float 0.07 ($78.40)
3.3% → AWP Ice Coaled Factory New float 0.07 ($74.75)
3.3% → Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Factory New float 0.07 ($59.61)
3.3% → MP7 Smoking Kills Factory New float 0.07 ($63.28)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Phoenix Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.1200 (Weighted: 0.1000)
Input Cost:
$7.70
Expected Value:
$9.49
Profit:
$1.79
Profitability:
123.28%
Success Rate:
75.0%
Input Items
10 x UMP-45 Corporal [Minimal Wear, $0.77, float=0.12]
Possible Outcomes
25.0% → MAC-10 Heat Minimal Wear float 0.10 ($9.22)
25.0% → SG 553 Pulse Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($11.22)
25.0% → USP-S Guardian Factory New float 0.04 ($12.57)
25.0% → FAMAS Sergeant Field-Tested float 0.19 ($4.96)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x3)
The Vanguard Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.8400 (Weighted: 0.8400)
Input Cost:
$96.74
Expected Value:
$120.98
Profit:
$24.24
Profitability:
125.05%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 K.O. Factory [Battle-Scarred, $6.58, float=0.84]
7 x SCAR-20 Cardiac [Battle-Scarred, $11.00, float=0.84]
Possible Outcomes
35.0% → P2000 Fire Elemental Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($169.22)
35.0% → AK-47 Wasteland Rebel Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($115.00)
15.0% → AWP Printstream Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($71.69)
15.0% → FAMAS Bad Trip Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($71.65)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Spectrum 2 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3500 (Weighted: 0.6364)
Input Cost:
$15.40
Expected Value:
$21.44
Profit:
$6.04
Profitability:
139.22%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Exposure [Field-Tested, $1.54, float=0.35]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Leaded Glass Well-Worn float 0.45 ($29.63)
33.3% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon High Roller Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($14.86)
33.3% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Llama Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($19.83)
Identified: 2026-03-03
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x3)
The Genesis Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.3690)
Input Cost:
$11.66
Expected Value:
$14.66
Profit:
$3.00
Profitability:
125.74%
Success Rate:
76.7%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Ghost Crusader [Field-Tested, $1.67, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Cat Fight [Well-Worn, $0.95, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → P250 Asiimov Well-Worn float 0.43 ($16.38)
10.0% → UMP-45 Primal Saber Field-Tested float 0.28 ($17.08)
10.0% → AUG Fleet Flock Field-Tested float 0.37 ($17.60)
23.3% → AWP Ice Coaled Field-Tested float 0.37 ($15.50)
23.3% → Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Field-Tested float 0.37 ($11.99)
23.3% → MP7 Smoking Kills Field-Tested float 0.37 ($13.46)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Shadow Collection (x3)
The Chop Shop Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.6120 (Weighted: 0.7249)
Input Cost:
$283.01
Expected Value:
$339.90
Profit:
$56.89
Profitability:
120.10%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Scumbria [Well-Worn, $0.28, float=0.43]
7 x Five-SeveN Nitro [Battle-Scarred, $40.31, float=0.69]
Possible Outcomes
35.0% → Dual Berettas Duelist Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($415.50)
35.0% → SG 553 Bulldozer Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($553.07)
7.5% → P250 Wingshot Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($3.07)
7.5% → M249 Nebula Crusader Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($1.76)
7.5% → Galil AR Stone Cold Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($4.02)
7.5% → MP7 Special Delivery Well-Worn float 0.45 ($3.22)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Spectrum Collection (x2)
The Chop Shop Collection (x8)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.6960 (Weighted: 0.8174)
Input Cost:
$323.28
Expected Value:
$387.94
Profit:
$64.66
Profitability:
120.00%
Success Rate:
80.0%
Input Items
2 x Sawed-Off Zander [Battle-Scarred, $0.40, float=0.80]
8 x Five-SeveN Nitro [Battle-Scarred, $40.31, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
40.0% → Dual Berettas Duelist Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($415.50)
40.0% → SG 553 Bulldozer Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($553.07)
4.0% → M249 Emerald Poison Dart Field-Tested float 0.37 ($2.01)
4.0% → Galil AR Crimson Tsunami Well-Worn float 0.45 ($3.76)
4.0% → XM1014 Seasons Well-Worn float 0.41 ($2.22)
4.0% → UMP-45 Scaffold Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($2.37)
4.0% → MAC-10 Last Dive Well-Worn float 0.43 ($2.53)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Spectrum 2 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.6900 (Weighted: 0.9857)
Input Cost:
$15.80
Expected Value:
$19.22
Profit:
$3.42
Profitability:
121.65%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Tacticat [Battle-Scarred, $1.58, float=0.69]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Leaded Glass Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($22.92)
33.3% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon High Roller Battle-Scarred float 0.99 ($14.95)
33.3% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Llama Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($19.79)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x5)
The Genesis Collection (x5)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3700 (Weighted: 0.3700)
Input Cost:
$13.05
Expected Value:
$15.71
Profit:
$2.66
Profitability:
120.36%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
5 x Galil AR Firefight [Field-Tested, $1.63, float=0.30]
5 x Dual Berettas Angel Eyes [Well-Worn, $0.98, float=0.44]
Possible Outcomes
16.7% → P250 Asiimov Well-Worn float 0.43 ($16.51)
16.7% → UMP-45 Primal Saber Field-Tested float 0.28 ($19.23)
16.7% → AUG Fleet Flock Field-Tested float 0.37 ($18.63)
16.7% → AWP Ice Coaled Field-Tested float 0.37 ($15.89)
16.7% → Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Field-Tested float 0.37 ($10.83)
16.7% → MP7 Smoking Kills Field-Tested float 0.37 ($13.15)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Fracture Collection (x4)
The Achroma Collection (x6)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.5000 (Weighted: 0.5990)
Input Cost:
$3.94
Expected Value:
$5.13
Profit:
$1.19
Profitability:
130.09%
Success Rate:
60.0%
Input Items
4 x PP-Bizon Runic [Field-Tested, $0.13, float=0.26]
6 x AUG Creep [Battle-Scarred, $0.57, float=0.66]
Possible Outcomes
8.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.69)
8.0% → Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.76)
8.0% → MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.72)
8.0% → Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.72)
8.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.69)
30.0% → AK-47 Breakthrough Well-Worn float 0.45 ($11.50)
30.0% → Glock-18 Trace Lock Well-Worn float 0.42 ($4.63)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Ascent Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.3380 (Weighted: 0.5971)
Input Cost:
$5.18
Expected Value:
$6.25
Profit:
$1.07
Profitability:
120.66%
Success Rate:
63.3%
Input Items
2 x FAMAS Yeti Camo [Battle-Scarred, $0.47, float=0.69]
8 x M4A1-S Rose Hex [Field-Tested, $0.53, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AK-47 Midnight Laminate Well-Worn float 0.45 ($9.93)
10.0% → USP-S Royal Guard Field-Tested float 0.36 ($2.57)
26.7% → M4A1-S Glitched Paint Well-Worn float 0.40 ($7.25)
26.7% → Desert Eagle Mulberry Well-Worn float 0.45 ($7.79)
26.7% → USP-S Bleeding Edge Field-Tested float 0.36 ($3.71)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Train 2025 Collection (x7)
The Genesis Collection (x3)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.3690)
Input Cost:
$4.31
Expected Value:
$5.18
Profit:
$0.87
Profitability:
120.23%
Success Rate:
76.0%
Input Items
7 x UMP-45 Late Night Transit [Well-Worn, $0.53, float=0.42]
3 x MP5-SD Focus [Field-Tested, $0.20, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
23.3% → Tec-9 Whiteout Well-Worn float 0.41 ($6.11)
23.3% → MAC-10 Derailment Field-Tested float 0.26 ($6.23)
23.3% → Zeus x27 Charged Up Field-Tested float 0.37 ($7.13)
6.0% → Dual Berettas Angel Eyes Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.30)
6.0% → M4A1-S Liquidation Field-Tested float 0.37 ($5.38)
6.0% → MAC-10 Cat Fight Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.43)
6.0% → Nova Ocular Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.30)
6.0% → UMP-45 Continuum Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.24)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Falchion Collection (x3)
The Genesis Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.1590 (Weighted: 0.1487)
Input Cost:
$39.32
Expected Value:
$47.42
Profit:
$8.10
Profitability:
120.61%
Success Rate:
80.0%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ Negev Loudmouth [Field-Tested, $2.35, float=0.25]
7 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Continuum [Minimal Wear, $4.61, float=0.12]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Yellow Jacket Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($22.05)
10.0% → StatTrak™ SG 553 Cyrex Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($29.57)
10.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Nemesis Factory New float 0.05 ($62.12)
23.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Ice Coaled Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($57.04)
23.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Mirror Mosaic Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($45.46)
23.3% → StatTrak™ MP7 Smoking Kills Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($52.00)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Breakout Collection (x3)
The Prisma Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.2110 (Weighted: 0.1870)
Input Cost:
$142.39
Expected Value:
$181.17
Profit:
$38.78
Profitability:
127.24%
Success Rate:
65.0%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Fowl Play [Minimal Wear, $27.77, float=0.12]
7 x StatTrak™ XM1014 Incinegator [Field-Tested, $8.44, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Cyrex Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($259.99)
15.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Asiimov Field-Tested float 0.17 ($253.86)
35.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 The Emperor Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($206.93)
35.0% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Angry Mob Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($90.48)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Breakout Collection (x6)
The Fever Collection (x4)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.1300 (Weighted: 0.1300)
Input Cost:
$236.58
Expected Value:
$288.06
Profit:
$51.48
Profitability:
121.76%
Success Rate:
80.0%
Input Items
6 x StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Fowl Play [Minimal Wear, $27.77, float=0.13]
4 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory [Minimal Wear, $17.49, float=0.13]
Possible Outcomes
30.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Cyrex Factory New float 0.07 ($374.99)
30.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Asiimov Minimal Wear float 0.12 ($333.57)
20.0% → StatTrak™ AWP Printstream Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($298.80)
20.0% → StatTrak™ FAMAS Bad Trip Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($78.67)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Breakout Collection (x7)
The Falchion Collection (x3)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.1300 (Weighted: 0.1300)
Input Cost:
$260.54
Expected Value:
$320.62
Profit:
$60.08
Profitability:
123.06%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
7 x StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Fowl Play [Minimal Wear, $27.77, float=0.13]
3 x StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Yellow Jacket [Minimal Wear, $22.05, float=0.13]
Possible Outcomes
35.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Cyrex Factory New float 0.07 ($374.99)
35.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Asiimov Minimal Wear float 0.12 ($333.57)
15.0% → StatTrak™ AWP Hyper Beast Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($204.83)
15.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Aquamarine Revenge Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($279.31)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Breakout Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.1300 (Weighted: 0.1300)
Input Cost:
$287.10
Expected Value:
$354.28
Profit:
$67.18
Profitability:
123.40%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Fowl Play [Minimal Wear, $28.71, float=0.13]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Cyrex Factory New float 0.07 ($374.99)
50.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Asiimov Minimal Wear float 0.12 ($333.57)
Identified: 2026-03-02
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.2800 (Weighted: 0.3636)
Input Cost:
$143.00
Expected Value:
$175.00
Profit:
$32.00
Profitability:
122.37%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber [Field-Tested, $14.30, float=0.28]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Field-Tested float 0.36 ($179.49)
50.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Field-Tested float 0.18 ($170.50)
Identified: 2026-03-02
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