Trade Ups
Profitable trade-up opportunities identified by the algorithm
How to find profitable CS2 trade-up contracts
Every contract below is a live CS2 trade-up opportunity scored by our algorithm. Each card shows the input skins, the possible outcomes, and the numbers that matter so you can decide whether a trade-up is worth it before you commit any skins. Prefer to build your own? Test any combination in the CS2 trade-up calculator.
Filters
Narrow the list by input cost, collection, rarity and StatTrak™, then set a Min. Profit % and Min. Success % to surface only the contracts that fit your budget and risk appetite. Sort by highest profit, expected value or lowest risk to rank results your way.
Profit %
The profit percentage compares the total cost of the ten input skins against the expected value of the outcome, after fees. A higher profit % means a larger expected return per contract, though it usually comes with more risk.
Success rate
The success rate is the combined probability of landing an outcome worth more than your inputs. Trade-ups are weighted by collection, so pair a strong success rate with a healthy profit % to keep long-run results in your favour.
Live pricing
Input costs and outcome values use live market prices, and the Buy button on every skin opens up-to-date listings across Skinflow, CSFloat, Steam and more so you can source inputs at the best price.
Collections:
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x3)
The Operation Hydra Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.1900 (Weighted: 0.2487)
Input Cost:
$100.69
Expected Value:
$124.64
Profit:
$23.95
Profitability:
123.79%
Success Rate:
70.0%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ XM1014 Zombie Offensive [Factory New, $2.32, float=0.05]
7 x StatTrak™ P2000 Woodsman [Field-Tested, $13.39, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
23.3% → StatTrak™ M4A4 Hellfire Minimal Wear float 0.12 ($241.00)
23.3% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Sugar Rush Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($151.64)
23.3% → StatTrak™ Dual Berettas Cobra Strike Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($130.78)
10.0% → StatTrak™ Dual Berettas Melondrama Field-Tested float 0.25 ($7.99)
10.0% → StatTrak™ FAMAS Rapid Eye Movement Field-Tested float 0.25 ($8.67)
10.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Abyssal Apparition Field-Tested float 0.25 ($8.47)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Fracture Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.4220 (Weighted: 0.5999)
Input Cost:
$5.43
Expected Value:
$6.57
Profit:
$1.14
Profitability:
121.06%
Success Rate:
60.0%
Input Items
P90 Freight [Well-Worn, $0.12, float=0.44]
9 x SSG 08 Blush Pour [Well-Worn, $0.59, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
2.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.66)
2.0% → Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.70)
2.0% → MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.66)
2.0% → Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.65)
2.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.65)
30.0% → M4A1-S Glitched Paint Well-Worn float 0.40 ($7.96)
30.0% → Desert Eagle Mulberry Well-Worn float 0.45 ($9.31)
30.0% → USP-S Bleeding Edge Field-Tested float 0.36 ($4.42)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Fracture Collection (x4)
The Train 2025 Collection (x6)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.2080 (Weighted: 0.2080)
Input Cost:
$5.74
Expected Value:
$7.02
Profit:
$1.28
Profitability:
122.38%
Success Rate:
60.0%
Input Items
4 x P90 Freight [Minimal Wear, $0.16, float=0.13]
6 x UMP-45 Late Night Transit [Field-Tested, $0.85, float=0.26]
Possible Outcomes
8.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Field-Tested float 0.17 ($0.73)
8.0% → Galil AR Connexion Field-Tested float 0.17 ($0.72)
8.0% → MAC-10 Allure Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.74)
8.0% → Tec-9 Brother Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.74)
8.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.78)
20.0% → Tec-9 Whiteout Field-Tested float 0.26 ($9.33)
20.0% → MAC-10 Derailment Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($17.10)
20.0% → Zeus x27 Charged Up Field-Tested float 0.21 ($7.21)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Sport & Field Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float:
<0.2800 (Weighted: 0.0600)
Input Cost:
$1.70
Expected Value:
$4.08
Profit:
$2.38
Profitability:
239.71%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x MP5-SD Savannah Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.17, float=0.28]
Possible Outcomes
25.0% → USP-S Alpine Camo Factory New float 0.04 ($6.28)
25.0% → SSG 08 Zeno Factory New float 0.04 ($3.13)
25.0% → P250 Small Game Factory New float 0.04 ($2.82)
25.0% → Nova Yorkshire Factory New float 0.06 ($4.07)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3500 (Weighted: 0.3684)
Input Cost:
$12.80
Expected Value:
$15.48
Profit:
$2.68
Profitability:
120.91%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ P90 Wave Breaker [Field-Tested, $1.28, float=0.35]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.37 ($17.02)
33.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.37 ($11.41)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.37 ($18.00)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Spectrum Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.1200 (Weighted: 0.1200)
Input Cost:
$49.80
Expected Value:
$61.19
Profit:
$11.39
Profitability:
122.87%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Scaffold [Minimal Wear, $4.98, float=0.12]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Decimator Minimal Wear float 0.10 ($69.84)
33.3% → StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Xiangliu Factory New float 0.07 ($66.90)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Fever Dream Factory New float 0.07 ($46.83)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x2)
The Shadow Collection (x8)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.3980 (Weighted: 0.4107)
Input Cost:
$3.82
Expected Value:
$4.72
Profit:
$0.90
Profitability:
123.57%
Success Rate:
60.0%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ SG 553 Atlas [Field-Tested, $0.27, float=0.27]
8 x StatTrak™ XM1014 Scumbria [Well-Worn, $0.41, float=0.43]
Possible Outcomes
20.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Wingshot Field-Tested float 0.37 ($5.00)
20.0% → StatTrak™ M249 Nebula Crusader Well-Worn float 0.41 ($4.44)
20.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Stone Cold Field-Tested float 0.37 ($8.11)
20.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Special Delivery Field-Tested float 0.25 ($3.61)
4.0% → StatTrak™ XM1014 Black Tie Field-Tested float 0.31 ($2.12)
4.0% → StatTrak™ Tec-9 Re-Entry Field-Tested float 0.18 ($2.83)
4.0% → StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Red Astor Well-Worn float 0.41 ($2.76)
4.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Firefight Well-Worn float 0.41 ($2.00)
4.0% → StatTrak™ SSG 08 Ghost Crusader Well-Worn float 0.41 ($2.50)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Horizon Collection (x9)
The Genesis Collection (x1)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.0500 (Weighted: 0.0693)
Input Cost:
$9.39
Expected Value:
$15.26
Profit:
$5.87
Profitability:
162.56%
Success Rate:
74.0%
Input Items
9 x R8 Revolver Survivalist [Factory New, $0.87, float=0.05]
P2000 Red Wing [Factory New, $1.56, float=0.05]
Possible Outcomes
18.0% → CZ75-Auto Eco Factory New float 0.07 ($21.48)
18.0% → G3SG1 High Seas Factory New float 0.05 ($11.50)
18.0% → Nova Toy Soldier Factory New float 0.07 ($21.81)
18.0% → AWP PAW Factory New float 0.03 ($9.69)
18.0% → MP7 Powercore Factory New float 0.06 ($13.38)
2.0% → Dual Berettas Angel Eyes Factory New float 0.07 ($7.95)
2.0% → M4A1-S Liquidation Factory New float 0.07 ($30.65)
2.0% → MAC-10 Cat Fight Factory New float 0.07 ($8.11)
2.0% → Nova Ocular Factory New float 0.07 ($7.84)
2.0% → UMP-45 Continuum Factory New float 0.07 ($7.94)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3571)
Input Cost:
$12.80
Expected Value:
$15.51
Profit:
$2.71
Profitability:
121.15%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ Zeus x27 Tosai [Field-Tested, $1.28, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.36 ($16.99)
33.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.36 ($11.58)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.36 ($17.95)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Spectrum 2 Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.2700 (Weighted: 0.4909)
Input Cost:
$12.60
Expected Value:
$16.30
Profit:
$3.70
Profitability:
129.34%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Exposure [Field-Tested, $1.26, float=0.27]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Leaded Glass Field-Tested float 0.34 ($21.19)
33.3% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon High Roller Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($12.80)
33.3% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Llama Cannon Field-Tested float 0.36 ($14.90)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Spectrum Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.1200 (Weighted: 0.1200)
Input Cost:
$50.20
Expected Value:
$60.91
Profit:
$10.71
Profitability:
121.34%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Scaffold [Minimal Wear, $5.02, float=0.12]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Decimator Minimal Wear float 0.10 ($69.84)
33.3% → StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto Xiangliu Factory New float 0.07 ($66.90)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AWP Fever Dream Factory New float 0.07 ($46.00)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Radiant Collection (x9)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x1)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.4220 (Weighted: 0.5999)
Input Cost:
$5.37
Expected Value:
$6.76
Profit:
$1.39
Profitability:
125.96%
Success Rate:
60.0%
Input Items
9 x SSG 08 Blush Pour [Well-Worn, $0.59, float=0.42]
Sawed-Off Spirit Board [Well-Worn, $0.06, float=0.44]
Possible Outcomes
2.0% → PP-Bizon Space Cat Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.95)
2.0% → G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.89)
2.0% → M4A1-S Night Terror Well-Worn float 0.42 ($1.45)
2.0% → XM1014 Zombie Offensive Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.96)
2.0% → USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.95)
30.0% → M4A1-S Glitched Paint Well-Worn float 0.40 ($7.75)
30.0% → Desert Eagle Mulberry Well-Worn float 0.45 ($10.02)
30.0% → USP-S Bleeding Edge Field-Tested float 0.36 ($4.43)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Sport & Field Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float:
<0.2800 (Weighted: 0.0600)
Input Cost:
$1.70
Expected Value:
$4.08
Profit:
$2.38
Profitability:
239.71%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x MP5-SD Savannah Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.17, float=0.28]
Possible Outcomes
25.0% → USP-S Alpine Camo Factory New float 0.04 ($6.28)
25.0% → SSG 08 Zeno Factory New float 0.04 ($3.13)
25.0% → P250 Small Game Factory New float 0.04 ($2.82)
25.0% → Nova Yorkshire Factory New float 0.06 ($4.07)
Identified: 2026-01-10
Collections:
The Prisma Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.6600 (Weighted: 0.6421)
Input Cost:
$64.00
Expected Value:
$84.66
Profit:
$20.66
Profitability:
132.27%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ AUG Momentum [Battle-Scarred, $6.40, float=0.66]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 The Emperor Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($75.64)
50.0% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Angry Mob Well-Worn float 0.45 ($93.67)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Prisma 2 Collection (x2)
The Revolver Case Collection (x8)
Rarity:
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float:
<0.3700 (Weighted: 0.3700)
Input Cost:
$3.46
Expected Value:
$4.85
Profit:
$1.39
Profitability:
140.23%
Success Rate:
53.3%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ MP5-SD Desert Strike [Battle-Scarred, $0.17, float=0.69]
8 x StatTrak™ Sawed-Off Yorick [Field-Tested, $0.39, float=0.29]
Possible Outcomes
13.3% → StatTrak™ Negev Power Loader Field-Tested float 0.37 ($6.95)
13.3% → StatTrak™ XM1014 Teclu Burner Field-Tested float 0.24 ($7.05)
13.3% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Retrobution Field-Tested float 0.37 ($4.09)
13.3% → StatTrak™ Tec-9 Avalanche Field-Tested float 0.37 ($9.91)
13.3% → StatTrak™ SG 553 Tiger Moth Field-Tested float 0.37 ($2.73)
13.3% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Fuel Rod Field-Tested float 0.37 ($2.92)
4.0% → StatTrak™ SSG 08 Fever Dream Field-Tested float 0.27 ($3.41)
4.0% → StatTrak™ SG 553 Darkwing Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.64)
4.0% → StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Enforcer Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.29)
4.0% → StatTrak™ Sawed-Off Apocalypto Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.41)
4.0% → StatTrak™ P2000 Acid Etched Field-Tested float 0.37 ($1.38)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Fever Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3600 (Weighted: 0.3600)
Input Cost:
$12.80
Expected Value:
$15.64
Profit:
$2.84
Profitability:
122.19%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ Nova Rising Sun [Field-Tested, $1.28, float=0.36]
Possible Outcomes
33.3% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.36 ($16.34)
33.3% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.36 ($12.05)
33.3% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.36 ($18.53)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Snakebite Collection (x4)
The Fever Collection (x6)
Rarity:
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float:
<0.3540 (Weighted: 0.3638)
Input Cost:
$10.82
Expected Value:
$13.22
Profit:
$2.40
Profitability:
122.22%
Success Rate:
66.7%
Input Items
4 x StatTrak™ MAC-10 Button Masher [Well-Worn, $0.86, float=0.42]
6 x StatTrak™ P90 Wave Breaker [Field-Tested, $1.23, float=0.31]
Possible Outcomes
13.3% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Field-Tested float 0.36 ($12.94)
13.3% → StatTrak™ XM1014 XOXO Field-Tested float 0.33 ($6.35)
13.3% → StatTrak™ MP9 Food Chain Field-Tested float 0.36 ($12.51)
20.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Shinobu Field-Tested float 0.36 ($14.34)
20.0% → StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory Field-Tested float 0.36 ($12.05)
20.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Searing Rage Field-Tested float 0.36 ($18.53)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.8300 (Weighted: 0.8300)
Input Cost:
$72.50
Expected Value:
$91.81
Profit:
$19.31
Profitability:
126.63%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ MP7 Abyssal Apparition [Battle-Scarred, $7.25, float=0.83]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Nightwish Battle-Scarred float 0.83 ($93.81)
50.0% → StatTrak™ MP9 Starlight Protector Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($89.81)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x10)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.8400 (Weighted: 0.8400)
Input Cost:
$72.20
Expected Value:
$91.81
Profit:
$19.61
Profitability:
127.16%
Success Rate:
100.0%
Input Items
10 x StatTrak™ FAMAS Rapid Eye Movement [Battle-Scarred, $7.22, float=0.84]
Possible Outcomes
50.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Nightwish Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($93.81)
50.0% → StatTrak™ MP9 Starlight Protector Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($89.81)
Identified: 2026-01-09
Collections:
The Chroma 3 Collection (x3)
The Fever Collection (x7)
Rarity:
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float:
<0.2720 (Weighted: 0.2989)
Input Cost:
$102.87
Expected Value:
$123.67
Profit:
$20.80
Profitability:
120.22%
Success Rate:
65.0%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Primal Saber [Field-Tested, $14.69, float=0.30]
7 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 K.O. Factory [Field-Tested, $8.40, float=0.26]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Chantico's Fire Field-Tested float 0.30 ($174.83)
15.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Judgement of Anubis Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($170.00)
35.0% → StatTrak™ AWP Printstream Field-Tested float 0.30 ($137.37)
35.0% → StatTrak™ FAMAS Bad Trip Field-Tested float 0.30 ($68.19)
Identified: 2026-01-09
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