🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7311
Jackpot Price
$446.75
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$385.64
Collections
The Arms Deal Collection (x3)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.9486)
Input Cost
$61.11
Expected Value
$74.14
EV Ratio
121.3%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ AUG Wings [Minimal Wear, $20.16, float=0.13]
7 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Foresight [Battle-Scarred, $0.09, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($446.75, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ USP-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.25 ($150.00, 2.5x)
10.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.25 ($137.62, 2.3x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Night Terror Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($2.41, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.72, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ XM1014 Zombie Offensive Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.65, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Space Cat Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.63, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.95 ($0.60, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-26
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7310
Jackpot Price
$637.96
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$550.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.5333)
Input Cost
$87.27
Expected Value
$64.24
EV Ratio
73.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $87.00, float=0.25]
9 x M4A4 Mainframe [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($637.96, 7.3x) 🎯
22.5% → AWP Acheron Well-Worn float 0.44 ($1.32, 0.0x)
22.5% → MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.20, 0.0x)
22.5% → P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-12
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7310
Jackpot Price
$300.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$258.96
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Ascent Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3824)
Input Cost
$41.04
Expected Value
$35.70
EV Ratio
87.0%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $13.61, float=0.25]
7 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($300.00, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($32.26, 0.8x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($22.80, 0.6x)
14.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.30, 0.0x)
14.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.28, 0.0x)
14.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.27, 0.0x)
14.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.26, 0.0x)
14.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-06
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7300
Jackpot Price
$631.53
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$545.02
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$86.51
Expected Value
$63.45
EV Ratio
73.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.15, float=0.13]
9 x M4A4 Naval Shred Camo [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($631.53, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.30, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-28
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7299
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.77
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$198.87
Expected Value
$174.70
EV Ratio
87.8%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x P2000 Wicked Sick [Well-Worn, $3.64, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Well-Worn float 0.37 ($33.72, 0.2x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($31.92, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-26
🎰 Jackpot
M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7292
Jackpot Price
$689.04
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$594.55
Collections
The Anubis Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4450 (Weighted: 0.4450)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$110.57
EV Ratio
117.0%
Input Items
P250 Apep's Curse [Battle-Scarred, $57.50, float=0.67]
9 x P2000 Wicked Sick [Well-Worn, $4.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested float 0.31 ($689.04, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Field-Tested float 0.36 ($50.05, 0.5x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Well-Worn float 0.45 ($42.55, 0.5x)
Identified: 2026-06-12
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7283
Jackpot Price
$300.00
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$272.54
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.8490)
Input Cost
$27.46
Expected Value
$23.85
EV Ratio
86.9%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $13.61, float=0.25]
8 x Dual Berettas Rose Nacre [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($300.00, 10.9x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.07 ($32.26, 1.2x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.34 ($22.80, 0.8x)
16.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.25, 0.0x)
16.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.23, 0.0x)
16.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.20, 0.0x)
16.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-06
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7280
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.23
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Kilowatt Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.41
Expected Value
$178.05
EV Ratio
89.3%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x USP-S Jawbreaker [Well-Worn, $3.70, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → AK-47 Inheritance Well-Worn float 0.37 ($42.98, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chrome Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($30.09, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-27
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7280
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.23
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Kilowatt Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.41
Expected Value
$177.55
EV Ratio
89.0%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x USP-S Jawbreaker [Well-Worn, $3.70, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → AK-47 Inheritance Well-Worn float 0.37 ($41.95, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chrome Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($30.01, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-10-06
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7280
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.23
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.41
Expected Value
$176.35
EV Ratio
88.4%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x UMP-45 Wild Child [Well-Worn, $3.70, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Well-Worn float 0.37 ($35.66, 0.2x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($33.64, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-23
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7280
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.23
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Kilowatt Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.41
Expected Value
$176.99
EV Ratio
88.8%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x USP-S Jawbreaker [Well-Worn, $3.70, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → AK-47 Inheritance Well-Worn float 0.37 ($40.79, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chrome Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($29.94, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-10-05
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7279
Jackpot Price
$1334.98
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1151.58
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.7740)
Input Cost
$183.40
Expected Value
$162.66
EV Ratio
88.7%
Input Items
2 x Galil AR Phoenix Blacklight [Battle-Scarred, $89.62, float=0.67]
8 x MAG-7 SWAG-7 [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($1334.98, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($254.29, 1.4x)
26.7% → AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($5.11, 0.0x)
26.7% → AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($4.62, 0.0x)
26.7% → USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($4.28, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-06
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7277
Jackpot Price
$1318.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1136.95
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.8397)
Input Cost
$181.12
Expected Value
$160.40
EV Ratio
88.6%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $88.64, float=0.05]
8 x Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit [Battle-Scarred, $0.48, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($1318.07, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($255.30, 1.4x)
26.7% → UMP-45 Wild Child Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($3.96, 0.0x)
26.7% → P2000 Wicked Sick Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($3.88, 0.0x)
26.7% → AWP Duality Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($3.65, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-20
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7276
Jackpot Price
$1319.80
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1138.42
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Snakebite Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7556)
Input Cost
$181.38
Expected Value
$160.84
EV Ratio
88.7%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $88.69, float=0.05]
8 x P250 Cyber Shell [Battle-Scarred, $0.50, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.45 ($1319.80, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($255.42, 1.4x)
26.7% → MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($4.28, 0.0x)
26.7% → Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($4.23, 0.0x)
26.7% → XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.68 ($3.93, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-23
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7276
Jackpot Price
$1334.98
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1151.50
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Fever Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8614)
Input Cost
$183.48
Expected Value
$163.39
EV Ratio
89.0%
Input Items
2 x Galil AR Phoenix Blacklight [Battle-Scarred, $89.62, float=0.67]
8 x Galil AR Control [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($1334.98, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.86 ($254.29, 1.4x)
26.7% → Glock-18 Shinobu Battle-Scarred float 0.86 ($5.77, 0.0x)
26.7% → AK-47 Searing Rage Battle-Scarred float 0.86 ($5.75, 0.0x)
26.7% → UMP-45 K.O. Factory Battle-Scarred float 0.86 ($5.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-05
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7273
Jackpot Price
$1319.80
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1138.34
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7950)
Input Cost
$181.46
Expected Value
$160.96
EV Ratio
88.7%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $88.69, float=0.05]
8 x UMP-45 Arctic Wolf [Battle-Scarred, $0.51, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($1319.80, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($255.42, 1.4x)
26.7% → AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.39, 0.0x)
26.7% → USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($4.27, 0.0x)
26.7% → AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-22
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7273
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1252.05
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Kilowatt Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.59
Expected Value
$178.80
EV Ratio
89.6%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x USP-S Jawbreaker [Well-Worn, $3.72, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → AK-47 Inheritance Well-Worn float 0.37 ($43.62, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chrome Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($31.12, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-10-04
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7271
Jackpot Price
$1318.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1136.79
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Fever Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.8907)
Input Cost
$181.28
Expected Value
$161.69
EV Ratio
89.2%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $88.64, float=0.05]
8 x Zeus x27 Tosai [Battle-Scarred, $0.50, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($1318.07, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.89 ($255.30, 1.4x)
26.7% → UMP-45 K.O. Factory Battle-Scarred float 0.89 ($5.63, 0.0x)
26.7% → Glock-18 Shinobu Battle-Scarred float 0.89 ($5.35, 0.0x)
26.7% → AK-47 Searing Rage Battle-Scarred float 0.89 ($5.34, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-21
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7270
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1251.96
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Kilowatt Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.68
Expected Value
$180.24
EV Ratio
90.3%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x USP-S Jawbreaker [Well-Worn, $3.73, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → AK-47 Inheritance Well-Worn float 0.37 ($44.45, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chrome Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($33.49, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-21
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7267
Jackpot Price
$1451.64
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1251.87
Collections
The 2021 Vertigo Collection (x1)
The Recoil Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.4655)
Input Cost
$199.77
Expected Value
$185.34
EV Ratio
92.8%
Input Items
SG 553 Hazard Pay [Well-Worn, $166.11, float=0.42]
9 x Sawed-Off Kiss♥Love [Well-Worn, $3.74, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Imminent Danger Well-Worn float 0.37 ($1451.64, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → USP-S Printstream Well-Worn float 0.40 ($47.24, 0.2x)
45.0% → AWP Chromatic Aberration Field-Tested float 0.33 ($42.05, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-17