π° High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in π high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7179
Jackpot Price
$648.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$557.80
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$90.27
Expected Value
$65.04
EV Ratio
72.1%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $90.00, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($648.07, 7.2x) π―
22.5% β Nova Wurst HΓΆlle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% β Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% β MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% β Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-19
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7179
Jackpot Price
$648.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$557.80
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$90.27
Expected Value
$65.04
EV Ratio
72.1%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $90.00, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($648.07, 7.2x) π―
22.5% β Nova Wurst HΓΆlle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% β MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% β Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% β Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-19
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7176
Jackpot Price
$1333.94
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$1240.99
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.6080 (Weighted: 0.8163)
Input Cost
$92.95
Expected Value
$83.50
EV Ratio
89.8%
Input Items
SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $88.36, float=0.05]
9 x UMP-45 Arctic Wolf [Battle-Scarred, $0.51, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($1333.94, 14.4x) π―
5.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($254.46, 2.7x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($4.99, 0.1x)
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($4.39, 0.0x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.21, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-13
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7176
Jackpot Price
$1263.90
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$1087.76
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7950)
Input Cost
$176.14
Expected Value
$155.46
EV Ratio
88.3%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $85.99, float=0.05]
8 x Nova Wild Six [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($1263.90, 7.2x) π―
10.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($253.76, 1.4x)
26.7% β AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.68, 0.0x)
26.7% β AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.61, 0.0x)
26.7% β USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($4.56, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-29
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7174
Jackpot Price
$275.27
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$236.90
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.4270)
Input Cost
$38.37
Expected Value
$33.50
EV Ratio
87.3%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Field-Tested, $12.72, float=0.25]
7 x MP7 Motherboard [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($275.27, 7.2x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($35.23, 0.9x)
10.0% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.17 ($21.16, 0.6x)
17.5% β AWP Acheron Field-Tested float 0.35 ($1.18, 0.0x)
17.5% β MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.24, 0.0x)
17.5% β P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.24, 0.0x)
17.5% β P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-23
π° Jackpot
StatTrakβ’ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7171
Jackpot Price
$446.60
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$384.32
Collections
The Arms Deal Collection (x3)
The Revolution Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec π
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.8825)
Input Cost
$62.28
Expected Value
$73.31
EV Ratio
117.7%
Input Items
3 x StatTrakβ’ MP7 Skulls [Field-Tested, $20.55, float=0.25]
7 x StatTrakβ’ SCAR-20 Fragments [Battle-Scarred, $0.09, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($446.60, 7.2x) π―
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ M4A1-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.24 ($154.92, 2.5x)
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ USP-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.24 ($127.00, 2.0x)
14.0% β StatTrakβ’ M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Battle-Scarred float 0.71 ($1.01, 0.0x)
14.0% β StatTrakβ’ P90 Neoqueen Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.62, 0.0x)
14.0% β StatTrakβ’ Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.60, 0.0x)
14.0% β StatTrakβ’ R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.88 ($0.54, 0.0x)
14.0% β StatTrakβ’ MAC-10 Sakkaku Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.49, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-10
π° Jackpot
Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7170
Jackpot Price
$108.99
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$101.39
Collections
The Arms Deal 3 Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec π
Avg Input Float
<0.2840 (Weighted: 0.3422)
Input Cost
$7.60
Expected Value
$8.41
EV Ratio
110.7%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Red FragCam [Well-Worn, $3.48, float=0.42]
8 x Tec-9 Slag [Field-Tested, $0.08, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New float 0.07 ($108.99, 14.3x) π―
5.0% β Five-SeveN Copper Galaxy Factory New float 0.07 ($29.50, 3.9x)
5.0% β CZ75-Auto Tread Plate Factory New float 0.07 ($12.62, 1.7x)
5.0% β Desert Eagle Heirloom Field-Tested float 0.27 ($8.64, 1.1x)
16.0% β Glock-18 Block-18 Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.58, 0.1x)
16.0% β MP7 Just Smile Field-Tested float 0.34 ($0.54, 0.1x)
16.0% β Five-SeveN Hybrid Field-Tested float 0.34 ($0.53, 0.1x)
16.0% β Sawed-Off Analog Input Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.51, 0.1x)
16.0% β M4A4 Etch Lord Field-Tested float 0.34 ($0.51, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-09-14
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7162
Jackpot Price
$1297.27
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1206.70
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x1)
The Snakebite Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.6080 (Weighted: 0.7719)
Input Cost
$90.57
Expected Value
$81.31
EV Ratio
89.8%
Input Items
SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $86.34, float=0.05]
9 x P250 Cyber Shell [Battle-Scarred, $0.47, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($1297.27, 14.3x) π―
5.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($255.93, 2.8x)
30.0% β MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($4.30, 0.0x)
30.0% β Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($4.10, 0.0x)
30.0% β XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($3.76, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-02
π° Jackpot
SSG 08 Death Strike Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7157
Jackpot Price
$444.31
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$382.23
Collections
The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x2)
The Fracture Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.6360)
Input Cost
$62.08
Expected Value
$73.34
EV Ratio
118.1%
Input Items
2 x M4A4 Red DDPAT [Field-Tested, $29.00, float=0.25]
8 x Tec-9 Brother [Battle-Scarred, $0.51, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β SSG 08 Death Strike Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($444.31, 7.2x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Fade Factory New float 0.05 ($249.98, 4.0x)
26.7% β Glock-18 Vogue Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($4.99, 0.1x)
26.7% β XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.32 ($4.91, 0.1x)
26.7% β M4A4 Tooth Fairy Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($4.78, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7156
Jackpot Price
$1197.68
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1114.00
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.6080 (Weighted: 0.8163)
Input Cost
$83.68
Expected Value
$76.91
EV Ratio
91.9%
Input Items
SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $79.00, float=0.05]
9 x UMP-45 Arctic Wolf [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($1197.68, 14.3x) π―
5.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($254.18, 3.0x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($5.09, 0.1x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.74, 0.1x)
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($4.55, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-22
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7156
Jackpot Price
$1197.68
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1114.00
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x1)
The Snakebite Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.6080 (Weighted: 0.7719)
Input Cost
$83.68
Expected Value
$76.54
EV Ratio
91.5%
Input Items
SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $79.00, float=0.05]
9 x P250 Cyber Shell [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($1197.68, 14.3x) π―
5.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($254.18, 3.0x)
30.0% β XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($4.63, 0.1x)
30.0% β Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($4.44, 0.1x)
30.0% β MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.77 ($4.08, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-23
π° Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7153
Jackpot Price
$1336.13
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$1242.74
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.7895)
Input Cost
$93.39
Expected Value
$83.55
EV Ratio
89.5%
Input Items
Galil AR Phoenix Blacklight [Field-Tested, $88.71, float=0.25]
9 x Nova Wild Six [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% β AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($1336.13, 14.3x) π―
5.0% β MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($254.22, 2.7x)
30.0% β AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($5.19, 0.1x)
30.0% β USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($4.22, 0.0x)
30.0% β AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.03, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-04
π° Jackpot
StatTrakβ’ Desert Eagle Cobalt Disruption Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7151
Jackpot Price
$299.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$257.19
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3250)
Input Cost
$41.81
Expected Value
$50.93
EV Ratio
121.8%
Input Items
3 x StatTrakβ’ P90 Blind Spot [Field-Tested, $12.70, float=0.25]
7 x StatTrakβ’ M4A4 Etch Lord [Field-Tested, $0.53, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ Desert Eagle Cobalt Disruption Factory New float 0.07 ($299.00, 7.2x) π―
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ AWP Electric Hive Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($98.48, 2.4x)
10.0% β StatTrakβ’ FAMAS Afterimage Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($39.60, 0.9x)
23.3% β StatTrakβ’ M4A1-S Black Lotus Field-Tested float 0.23 ($13.25, 0.3x)
23.3% β StatTrakβ’ USP-S Jawbreaker Field-Tested float 0.33 ($11.18, 0.3x)
23.3% β StatTrakβ’ Zeus x27 Olympus Field-Tested float 0.22 ($6.53, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-09-10
π° Jackpot
SSG 08 Death Strike Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7148
Jackpot Price
$444.31
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$382.15
Collections
The 2021 Dust 2 Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted π
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.6360)
Input Cost
$62.16
Expected Value
$73.84
EV Ratio
118.8%
Input Items
2 x M4A4 Red DDPAT [Field-Tested, $29.00, float=0.25]
8 x MP7 Just Smile [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β SSG 08 Death Strike Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($444.31, 7.1x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Fade Factory New float 0.05 ($249.98, 4.0x)
26.7% β M4A1-S Black Lotus Well-Worn float 0.45 ($7.39, 0.1x)
26.7% β Zeus x27 Olympus Well-Worn float 0.43 ($4.75, 0.1x)
26.7% β USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($4.40, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
π° Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7146
Jackpot Price
$275.27
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$249.59
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Achroma Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.7214)
Input Cost
$25.68
Expected Value
$22.29
EV Ratio
86.8%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Field-Tested, $12.72, float=0.25]
8 x R8 Revolver Dark Chamber [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% β MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($275.27, 10.7x) π―
6.7% β UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.06 ($35.23, 1.4x)
6.7% β MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.29 ($21.16, 0.8x)
20.0% β Desert Eagle The Daily Deagle Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.31, 0.0x)
20.0% β P2000 Grip Tape Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($0.21, 0.0x)
20.0% β P90 Aeolian Light Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.20, 0.0x)
20.0% β AUG Creep Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.19, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-22
π° Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7139
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$205.52
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.3620 (Weighted: 0.7463)
Input Cost
$33.48
Expected Value
$36.92
EV Ratio
110.3%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Pathfinder [Minimal Wear, $16.62, float=0.13]
8 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.22 ($239.00, 7.1x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.29 ($128.25, 3.8x)
20.0% β MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.26, 0.0x)
20.0% β Nova Wurst HΓΆlle Battle-Scarred float 0.75 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% β Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.37 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% β Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.21, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-07
π° Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7139
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$205.52
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.3620 (Weighted: 0.7463)
Input Cost
$33.48
Expected Value
$36.92
EV Ratio
110.3%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Pathfinder [Minimal Wear, $16.62, float=0.13]
8 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.22 ($239.00, 7.1x) π―
10.0% β UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.29 ($128.25, 3.8x)
20.0% β MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.26, 0.0x)
20.0% β Nova Wurst HΓΆlle Battle-Scarred float 0.75 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% β Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.37 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% β Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.21, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-07
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7137
Jackpot Price
$641.66
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$551.75
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.8473)
Input Cost
$89.91
Expected Value
$64.39
EV Ratio
71.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $89.64, float=0.13]
9 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($641.66, 7.1x) π―
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.26, 0.0x)
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.25, 0.0x)
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.25, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.24, 0.0x)
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-07
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7137
Jackpot Price
$641.66
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$551.75
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.8473)
Input Cost
$89.91
Expected Value
$64.39
EV Ratio
71.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $89.64, float=0.13]
9 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.07 ($641.66, 7.1x) π―
18.0% β MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% β P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.26, 0.0x)
18.0% β Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.25, 0.0x)
18.0% β P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.24, 0.0x)
18.0% β FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-07
π° Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7136
Jackpot Price
$584.98
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$503.00
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial π§
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4933)
Input Cost
$81.98
Expected Value
$58.89
EV Ratio
71.8%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $81.71, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Bulkhead [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% β AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($584.98, 7.1x) π―
22.5% β AWP Acheron Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.15, 0.0x)
22.5% β P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.20, 0.0x)
22.5% β MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.19, 0.0x)
22.5% β P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.19, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-07