🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7848
Jackpot Price
$81.31
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$76.13
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3436)
Input Cost
$5.18
Expected Value
$5.40
EV Ratio
104.2%
Input Items
2 x MP7 Tall Grass [Field-Tested, $2.43, float=0.25]
8 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.07 ($81.31, 15.7x) 🎯
5.0% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.21 ($7.86, 1.5x)
5.0% → FAMAS Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.15 ($6.97, 1.3x)
5.0% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.22 ($4.69, 0.9x)
16.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.81, 0.2x)
16.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.36, 0.1x)
16.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.31, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7430
Jackpot Price
$84.11
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$78.45
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x2)
The Dust 2 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.2712)
Input Cost
$5.66
Expected Value
$6.92
EV Ratio
122.3%
Input Items
2 x G3SG1 Ancient Ritual [Field-Tested, $2.67, float=0.25]
8 x Five-SeveN Orange Peel [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.05 ($84.11, 14.9x) 🎯
5.0% → FAMAS Dark Water Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($37.17, 6.6x)
5.0% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.16 ($7.86, 1.4x)
5.0% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.18 ($4.69, 0.8x)
26.7% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.16 ($0.35, 0.1x)
26.7% → PP-Bizon Brass Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.28, 0.0x)
26.7% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7389
Jackpot Price
$69.60
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
14.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$64.89
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x1)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.9239)
Input Cost
$4.71
Expected Value
$5.48
EV Ratio
116.4%
Input Items
StatTrak™ Nova Ghost Camo [Field-Tested, $3.72, float=0.25]
9 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Foresight [Battle-Scarred, $0.11, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn float 0.37 ($69.60, 14.8x) 🎯
5.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($15.32, 3.3x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Night Terror Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($3.48, 0.7x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.70 ($1.00, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ XM1014 Zombie Offensive Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.83, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Space Cat Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.80, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.75, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-06-08
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4313)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.85
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($1.06, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.82
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.41, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.41, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.35, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.35, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.35, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4313)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.86
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($1.11, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7327
Jackpot Price
$624.82
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.54
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$85.28
Expected Value
$62.85
EV Ratio
73.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.92, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($624.82, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.06, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.58, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-02
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7300
Jackpot Price
$631.53
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$545.02
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$86.51
Expected Value
$63.45
EV Ratio
73.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.15, float=0.13]
9 x M4A4 Naval Shred Camo [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($631.53, 7.3x) 🎯
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.31, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.30, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-28
🎰 Jackpot
M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7292
Jackpot Price
$689.04
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$594.55
Collections
The Anubis Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4450 (Weighted: 0.4450)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$110.57
EV Ratio
117.0%
Input Items
P250 Apep's Curse [Battle-Scarred, $57.50, float=0.67]
9 x P2000 Wicked Sick [Well-Worn, $4.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A4 Eye of Horus Field-Tested float 0.31 ($689.04, 7.3x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Field-Tested float 0.36 ($50.05, 0.5x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Well-Worn float 0.45 ($42.55, 0.5x)
Identified: 2026-06-12
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.87
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$339.67
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$308.39
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8795)
Input Cost
$31.28
Expected Value
$28.16
EV Ratio
90.0%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.48, float=0.67]
8 x Galil AR O-Ranger [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($339.67, 10.9x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($55.57, 1.8x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($23.55, 0.8x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.57, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.26, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-19
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3949)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.86
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.50, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.38, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7234
Jackpot Price
$629.63
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$542.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.04
Expected Value
$63.28
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.68, float=0.13]
9 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($629.63, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.57, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.43, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-24
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.7971)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.48
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Sour Grapes [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.30, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.53
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.54, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.38, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3949)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.52
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.52, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.34, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Welcome to the Jungle Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7212
Jackpot Price
$1336.87
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$1151.50
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4030 (Weighted: 0.4030)
Input Cost
$185.37
Expected Value
$174.36
EV Ratio
94.1%
Input Items
P90 Run and Hide [Field-Tested, $150.00, float=0.25]
9 x UMP-45 Wild Child [Well-Worn, $3.93, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Welcome to the Jungle Well-Worn float 0.40 ($1336.87, 7.2x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Field-Tested float 0.32 ($48.14, 0.3x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Well-Worn float 0.40 ($42.24, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-06-19
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.62
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.19, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.53, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-31
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.59
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.07, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.48, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.16, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.59
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.03, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01