🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8978
Jackpot Price
$1280.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
9.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$1138.05
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7155)
Input Cost
$142.64
Expected Value
$183.99
EV Ratio
129.0%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Chainmail [Factory New, $71.00, float=0.05]
8 x XM1014 Irezumi [Battle-Scarred, $0.08, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($1280.69, 9.0x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($555.01, 3.9x)
16.0% → Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.57, 0.0x)
16.0% → Sawed-Off Analog Input Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.53, 0.0x)
16.0% → M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.53, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.52, 0.0x)
16.0% → Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.50, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-10
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8961
Jackpot Price
$1278.26
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
9.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$1135.62
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7155)
Input Cost
$142.64
Expected Value
$183.78
EV Ratio
128.8%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Chainmail [Factory New, $71.00, float=0.05]
8 x UMP-45 Motorized [Battle-Scarred, $0.08, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($1278.26, 9.0x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($555.29, 3.9x)
16.0% → Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.59, 0.0x)
16.0% → Sawed-Off Analog Input Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.55, 0.0x)
16.0% → M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.53, 0.0x)
16.0% → Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.51, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.50, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-09
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8943
Jackpot Price
$1275.63
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$1132.99
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.8112)
Input Cost
$142.64
Expected Value
$183.21
EV Ratio
128.4%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Chainmail [Factory New, $71.00, float=0.05]
8 x MAG-7 Foresight [Battle-Scarred, $0.08, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($1275.63, 8.9x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($549.79, 3.9x)
16.0% → M4A1-S Night Terror Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.93, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.83, 0.0x)
16.0% → PP-Bizon Space Cat Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($0.80, 0.0x)
16.0% → G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.80, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Zombie Offensive Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.80, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-11
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8940
Jackpot Price
$1275.95
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$1133.23
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7326)
Input Cost
$142.72
Expected Value
$183.25
EV Ratio
128.4%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Chainmail [Factory New, $71.00, float=0.05]
8 x SCAR-20 Fragments [Battle-Scarred, $0.09, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($1275.95, 8.9x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($552.16, 3.9x)
16.0% → M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.65, 0.0x)
16.0% → Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.55, 0.0x)
16.0% → MAC-10 Sakkaku Battle-Scarred float 0.63 ($0.52, 0.0x)
16.0% → P90 Neoqueen Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.51, 0.0x)
16.0% → R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.73 ($0.49, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-13
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8940
Jackpot Price
$1275.95
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$1133.23
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.8112)
Input Cost
$142.72
Expected Value
$183.47
EV Ratio
128.6%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Chainmail [Factory New, $71.00, float=0.05]
8 x MAG-7 Foresight [Battle-Scarred, $0.09, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($1275.95, 8.9x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($552.16, 3.9x)
16.0% → M4A1-S Night Terror Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.96, 0.0x)
16.0% → PP-Bizon Space Cat Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($0.80, 0.0x)
16.0% → G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.80, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Zombie Offensive Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.78, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.77, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-12
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8821
Jackpot Price
$1249.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$1108.19
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5620 (Weighted: 0.8839)
Input Cost
$141.70
Expected Value
$179.34
EV Ratio
126.6%
Input Items
2 x MP9 Dark Age [Minimal Wear, $70.53, float=0.13]
8 x MAG-7 Foresight [Battle-Scarred, $0.08, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.09 ($1249.89, 8.8x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($537.29, 3.8x)
16.0% → M4A1-S Night Terror Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.94, 0.0x)
16.0% → PP-Bizon Space Cat Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.77, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Ticket to Hell Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.74, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Zombie Offensive Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.72, 0.0x)
16.0% → G3SG1 Dream Glade Battle-Scarred float 0.88 ($0.71, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-25
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8809
Jackpot Price
$413.62
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$343.19
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.43
Expected Value
$91.54
EV Ratio
130.0%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.24, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($413.62, 5.9x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($171.60, 2.4x)
23.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.57, 0.1x)
23.3% → Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.52, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.03, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-13
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8809
Jackpot Price
$413.62
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$343.19
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.43
Expected Value
$91.54
EV Ratio
130.0%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.24, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($413.62, 5.9x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($171.60, 2.4x)
23.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.57, 0.1x)
23.3% → Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.52, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.03, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-13
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8806
Jackpot Price
$409.23
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.52
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Snakebite Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$69.71
Expected Value
$93.01
EV Ratio
133.4%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.00, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Button Masher [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($409.23, 5.9x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($189.99, 2.7x)
23.3% → Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($4.56, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($4.46, 0.1x)
23.3% → MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($4.40, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-21
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8793
Jackpot Price
$409.24
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.43
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.4967)
Input Cost
$69.81
Expected Value
$90.46
EV Ratio
129.6%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $22.01, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Allure [Well-Worn, $0.54, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.40 ($409.24, 5.9x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.27 ($170.00, 2.4x)
23.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy Field-Tested float 0.36 ($5.29, 0.1x)
23.3% → Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.37 ($5.12, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.25 ($4.90, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-22
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8749
Jackpot Price
$409.24
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$339.08
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.5460)
Input Cost
$70.16
Expected Value
$92.49
EV Ratio
131.8%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Pink DDPAT [Field-Tested, $22.22, float=0.25]
7 x Tec-9 Brother [Battle-Scarred, $0.50, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.44 ($409.24, 5.8x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.30 ($183.39, 2.6x)
23.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.40 ($5.30, 0.1x)
23.3% → Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.11, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.27 ($5.02, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-23
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8688
Jackpot Price
$505.39
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$447.22
Collections
The Arms Deal Collection (x3)
The Revolution Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.8799)
Input Cost
$58.17
Expected Value
$78.97
EV Ratio
135.8%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ AUG Wings [Minimal Wear, $19.18, float=0.13]
7 x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Fragments [Battle-Scarred, $0.09, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Dragon Tattoo Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($505.39, 8.7x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.24 ($143.75, 2.5x)
10.0% → StatTrak™ USP-S Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.24 ($135.38, 2.3x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Battle-Scarred float 0.70 ($1.17, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Neoqueen Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.74, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.74, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.88 ($0.52, 0.0x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Sakkaku Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.52, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-02
🎰 Jackpot
Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New
Lottery Score
0.8617
Jackpot Price
$133.05
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
17.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$125.33
Collections
The Arms Deal 3 Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.2840 (Weighted: 0.3200)
Input Cost
$7.72
Expected Value
$11.04
EV Ratio
143.0%
Input Items
2 x P2000 Red FragCam [Well-Worn, $3.50, float=0.42]
8 x MP9 Featherweight [Field-Tested, $0.09, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → Tec-9 Titanium Bit Factory New float 0.06 ($133.05, 17.2x) 🎯
5.0% → Five-SeveN Copper Galaxy Factory New float 0.06 ($47.39, 6.1x)
5.0% → CZ75-Auto Tread Plate Factory New float 0.06 ($17.50, 2.3x)
5.0% → Desert Eagle Heirloom Field-Tested float 0.26 ($13.66, 1.8x)
16.0% → M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.66, 0.1x)
16.0% → R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.59, 0.1x)
16.0% → Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.57, 0.1x)
16.0% → P90 Neoqueen Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.54, 0.1x)
16.0% → MAC-10 Sakkaku Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.52, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-09
🎰 Jackpot
MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.8581
Jackpot Price
$777.45
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$686.85
Collections
The Canals Collection (x1)
The Clutch Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.2670 (Weighted: 0.3653)
Input Cost
$90.60
Expected Value
$81.79
EV Ratio
90.3%
Input Items
MAC-10 Red Filigree [Well-Worn, $86.28, float=0.42]
9 x UMP-45 Arctic Wolf [Field-Tested, $0.48, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MAG-7 Cinquedea Field-Tested float 0.37 ($777.45, 8.6x) 🎯
30.0% → USP-S Cortex Field-Tested float 0.37 ($4.88, 0.1x)
30.0% → AWP Mortis Field-Tested float 0.23 ($4.44, 0.0x)
30.0% → AUG Stymphalian Field-Tested float 0.23 ($4.15, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-28
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Exothermic Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8490
Jackpot Price
$5.66
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$4.66
Collections
The Harlequin Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5811)
Input Cost
$1.00
Expected Value
$1.46
EV Ratio
145.8%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 Warm Blooded [Battle-Scarred, $0.24, float=0.67]
7 x SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → AWP Exothermic Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.66, 5.7x) 🎯
15.0% → USP-S Sleeping Potion Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.79, 1.8x)
14.0% → Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.58, 0.6x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.50, 0.5x)
14.0% → Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.21, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Exothermic Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8490
Jackpot Price
$5.66
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$4.66
Collections
The Harlequin Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5811)
Input Cost
$1.00
Expected Value
$1.46
EV Ratio
145.8%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 Warm Blooded [Battle-Scarred, $0.24, float=0.67]
7 x SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → AWP Exothermic Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.66, 5.7x) 🎯
15.0% → USP-S Sleeping Potion Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.79, 1.8x)
14.0% → Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.58, 0.6x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.57, 0.6x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.50, 0.5x)
14.0% → Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.21, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.8475
Jackpot Price
$286.53
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$252.72
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Radiant Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2140 (Weighted: 0.3567)
Input Cost
$33.81
Expected Value
$35.58
EV Ratio
105.2%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $11.20, float=0.13]
7 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($286.53, 8.5x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($42.43, 1.3x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($24.55, 0.7x)
11.7% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.58, 0.0x)
11.7% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.38, 0.0x)
11.7% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.27, 0.0x)
11.7% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.26, 0.0x)
11.7% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.26, 0.0x)
11.7% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-23
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.8473
Jackpot Price
$406.32
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$334.39
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.5175)
Input Cost
$71.93
Expected Value
$92.11
EV Ratio
128.1%
Input Items
3 x AUG Sand Storm [Field-Tested, $22.74, float=0.25]
7 x MP5-SD Kitbash [Well-Worn, $0.53, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Well-Worn float 0.41 ($406.32, 5.6x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.28 ($183.03, 2.5x)
23.3% → Glock-18 Vogue Well-Worn float 0.39 ($5.70, 0.1x)
23.3% → M4A4 Tooth Fairy Well-Worn float 0.38 ($5.12, 0.1x)
23.3% → XM1014 Entombed Field-Tested float 0.26 ($5.09, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.8441
Jackpot Price
$1326.12
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$1169.02
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7950)
Input Cost
$157.10
Expected Value
$161.62
EV Ratio
102.9%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $76.51, float=0.05]
8 x Nova Wild Six [Battle-Scarred, $0.51, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($1326.12, 8.4x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($254.89, 1.6x)
26.7% → AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.56, 0.0x)
26.7% → USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($4.34, 0.0x)
26.7% → AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.31, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-17
🎰 Jackpot
CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.8425
Jackpot Price
$1262.42
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
8.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$1112.58
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5620 (Weighted: 0.7882)
Input Cost
$149.84
Expected Value
$180.95
EV Ratio
120.8%
Input Items
2 x MP9 Dark Age [Minimal Wear, $74.60, float=0.13]
8 x XM1014 Irezumi [Battle-Scarred, $0.08, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → CZ75-Auto Chalice Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($1262.42, 8.4x) 🎯
10.0% → Desert Eagle Hand Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($543.06, 3.6x)
16.0% → Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.58, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.49, 0.0x)
16.0% → Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.49, 0.0x)
16.0% → M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.49, 0.0x)
16.0% → Sawed-Off Analog Input Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.48, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-23