🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7929
Jackpot Price
$365.32
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$296.21
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Revolution Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.6717)
Input Cost
$69.11
Expected Value
$83.55
EV Ratio
120.9%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $21.80, float=0.25]
7 x R8 Revolver Banana Cannon [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($365.32, 5.3x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.37 ($173.55, 2.5x)
23.3% → AWP Duality Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($4.11, 0.1x)
23.3% → UMP-45 Wild Child Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($3.84, 0.1x)
23.3% → P2000 Wicked Sick Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($3.69, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-31
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7913
Jackpot Price
$365.32
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$296.07
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.6717)
Input Cost
$69.25
Expected Value
$82.69
EV Ratio
119.4%
Input Items
3 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $21.80, float=0.25]
7 x Five-SeveN Hybrid [Battle-Scarred, $0.55, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($365.32, 5.3x) 🎯
15.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.37 ($160.00, 2.3x)
23.3% → M4A1-S Black Lotus Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($7.44, 0.1x)
23.3% → USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($4.66, 0.1x)
23.3% → Zeus x27 Olympus Battle-Scarred float 0.45 ($4.60, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-31
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7848
Jackpot Price
$81.31
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$76.13
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3436)
Input Cost
$5.18
Expected Value
$5.40
EV Ratio
104.2%
Input Items
2 x MP7 Tall Grass [Field-Tested, $2.43, float=0.25]
8 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.07 ($81.31, 15.7x) 🎯
5.0% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.21 ($7.86, 1.5x)
5.0% → FAMAS Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.15 ($6.97, 1.3x)
5.0% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.22 ($4.69, 0.9x)
16.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.81, 0.2x)
16.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.36, 0.1x)
16.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.31, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7783
Jackpot Price
$646.73
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$563.63
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$83.10
Expected Value
$64.92
EV Ratio
78.1%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $82.83, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($646.73, 7.8x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.28, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-09
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7730
Jackpot Price
$275.10
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$239.51
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.1900 (Weighted: 0.3167)
Input Cost
$35.59
Expected Value
$33.90
EV Ratio
95.3%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Factory New, $11.77, float=0.05]
7 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($275.10, 7.7x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($36.00, 1.0x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($25.60, 0.7x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.87, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.17 ($0.39, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.14, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-27
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7716
Jackpot Price
$70.06
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$65.52
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x1)
The Fracture Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.9239)
Input Cost
$4.54
Expected Value
$4.81
EV Ratio
106.0%
Input Items
StatTrak™ Nova Ghost Camo [Field-Tested, $3.64, float=0.25]
9 x StatTrak™ SG 553 Ol' Rusty [Battle-Scarred, $0.10, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn float 0.37 ($70.06, 15.4x) 🎯
5.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($12.99, 2.9x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.74 ($0.78, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.75, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.73, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.74 ($0.71, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.70, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-08-13
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7707
Jackpot Price
$319.31
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$277.88
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2140 (Weighted: 0.3832)
Input Cost
$41.43
Expected Value
$37.46
EV Ratio
90.4%
Input Items
3 x SG 553 Gator Mesh [Minimal Wear, $13.74, float=0.13]
7 x SSG 08 Tiger Tear [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($319.31, 7.7x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($30.86, 0.7x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($22.16, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.80, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.47, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.12, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-08
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7679
Jackpot Price
$319.31
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
11.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$291.59
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Dust 2 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2260 (Weighted: 0.3767)
Input Cost
$27.72
Expected Value
$24.98
EV Ratio
90.1%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Gator Mesh [Minimal Wear, $13.74, float=0.13]
8 x Tec-9 VariCamo [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($319.31, 11.5x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($30.86, 1.1x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($22.16, 0.8x)
26.7% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.34, 0.0x)
26.7% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Well-Worn float 0.38 ($0.13, 0.0x)
26.7% → PP-Bizon Brass Well-Worn float 0.38 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-08
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7678
Jackpot Price
$73.56
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$68.77
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x1)
The Recoil Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.9239)
Input Cost
$4.79
Expected Value
$5.03
EV Ratio
105.0%
Input Items
StatTrak™ Nova Ghost Camo [Field-Tested, $3.80, float=0.25]
9 x StatTrak™ Galil AR Destroyer [Battle-Scarred, $0.11, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Well-Worn float 0.37 ($73.56, 15.4x) 🎯
5.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($13.25, 2.8x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ M249 Downtown Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.82, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Vent Rush Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.80, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Crazy 8 Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.76, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ SG 553 Dragon Tech Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.75, 0.2x)
18.0% → StatTrak™ Dual Berettas Flora Carnivora Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($0.70, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-07-26
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7640
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$627.40
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.9301)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$72.40
EV Ratio
76.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.22, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.6x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.24, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-25
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7640
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$627.40
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.9301)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$72.39
EV Ratio
76.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.22, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.6x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-25
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7633
Jackpot Price
$74.24
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$59.65
Collections
The eSports 2013 Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.7925)
Input Cost
$14.59
Expected Value
$16.54
EV Ratio
113.3%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Memento [Minimal Wear, $4.63, float=0.13]
7 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Motorized [Battle-Scarred, $0.10, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested float 0.16 ($74.24, 5.1x) 🎯
15.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Orange DDPAT Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($30.94, 2.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($1.42, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($1.11, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.99, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Sawed-Off Analog Input Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.96, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.95, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-06
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7628
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$627.25
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.9301)
Input Cost
$94.64
Expected Value
$72.40
EV Ratio
76.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.37, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.6x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($0.24, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-24
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7605
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$626.97
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.9048)
Input Cost
$94.92
Expected Value
$72.46
EV Ratio
76.3%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.65, float=0.13]
9 x M4A4 Steel Work [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.6x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Battle-Scarred float 0.45 ($0.71, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.68 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Battle-Scarred float 0.45 ($0.24, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($0.20, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.18, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.68 ($0.18, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-21
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7596
Jackpot Price
$73.73
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$59.17
Collections
The eSports 2013 Collection (x3)
The Kilowatt Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.7925)
Input Cost
$14.56
Expected Value
$16.43
EV Ratio
112.8%
Input Items
3 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Memento [Minimal Wear, $4.62, float=0.13]
7 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Motorized [Battle-Scarred, $0.10, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested float 0.16 ($73.73, 5.1x) 🎯
15.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Orange DDPAT Battle-Scarred float 0.65 ($30.72, 2.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($1.45, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($1.08, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.99, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.79 ($0.98, 0.1x)
14.0% → StatTrak™ Sawed-Off Analog Input Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.93, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-05
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7565
Jackpot Price
$317.75
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
11.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$289.75
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3775)
Input Cost
$28.00
Expected Value
$24.95
EV Ratio
89.1%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Gator Mesh [Field-Tested, $13.88, float=0.25]
8 x P250 Sedimentary [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($317.75, 11.3x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($30.72, 1.1x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($22.16, 0.8x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.52, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.32, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-10
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7531
Jackpot Price
$638.32
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$553.56
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Dust 2 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.2744)
Input Cost
$84.76
Expected Value
$64.08
EV Ratio
75.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $84.49, float=0.13]
9 x Five-SeveN Orange Peel [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.02 ($638.32, 7.5x) 🎯
30.0% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.16 ($0.32, 0.0x)
30.0% → PP-Bizon Brass Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.27, 0.0x)
30.0% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-15
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Exothermic Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7528
Jackpot Price
$5.47
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.0x
Profit if Jackpot
$4.38
Collections
The Harlequin Collection (x3)
The Fracture Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.4950 (Weighted: 0.5811)
Input Cost
$1.09
Expected Value
$1.40
EV Ratio
128.3%
Input Items
3 x UMP-45 Warm Blooded [Battle-Scarred, $0.27, float=0.67]
7 x SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.04, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → AWP Exothermic Well-Worn float 0.41 ($5.47, 5.0x) 🎯
15.0% → USP-S Sleeping Potion Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.55, 1.4x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Kitbash Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.52, 0.5x)
14.0% → Galil AR Connexion Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.51, 0.5x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Allure Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.50, 0.5x)
14.0% → MAG-7 Monster Call Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.48, 0.4x)
14.0% → Tec-9 Brother Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.46, 0.4x)
Identified: 2026-07-02
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7508
Jackpot Price
$645.26
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$559.32
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3648)
Input Cost
$85.94
Expected Value
$64.81
EV Ratio
75.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $85.67, float=0.13]
9 x Dual Berettas Rose Nacre [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.26, 7.5x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.36, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.35, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.28, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-18
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7508
Jackpot Price
$645.26
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.5x
Profit if Jackpot
$559.32
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$85.94
Expected Value
$64.81
EV Ratio
75.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $85.67, float=0.13]
9 x P250 Sedimentary [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.26, 7.5x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.59, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.34, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.25, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.24, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-19