🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6783
Jackpot Price
$345.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$294.14
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.4167)
Input Cost
$50.86
Expected Value
$41.79
EV Ratio
82.2%
Input Items
3 x SG 553 Gator Mesh [Field-Tested, $16.86, float=0.25]
7 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($345.00, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($44.97, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.17 ($24.91, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.24, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.55, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-07
🎰 Jackpot
P2000 Chainmail Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6728
Jackpot Price
$149.50
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$127.28
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Harlequin Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6200 (Weighted: 0.8197)
Input Cost
$22.22
Expected Value
$27.89
EV Ratio
125.5%
Input Items
2 x Sawed-Off Rust Coat [Well-Worn, $10.95, float=0.42]
8 x MP5-SD Picnic [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → P2000 Chainmail Field-Tested float 0.18 ($149.50, 6.7x) 🎯
10.0% → MP9 Dark Age Field-Tested float 0.18 ($127.00, 5.7x)
20.0% → Galil AR Sky Mandala Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.31, 0.0x)
20.0% → Five-SeveN Fraise Crane Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.30, 0.0x)
20.0% → Zeus x27 Earth Mandala Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($0.30, 0.0x)
20.0% → UMP-45 Warm Blooded Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.28, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-11
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.6723
Jackpot Price
$324.45
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$276.19
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.6711)
Input Cost
$48.26
Expected Value
$53.82
EV Ratio
111.5%
Input Items
2 x XM1014 Elegant Vines [Field-Tested, $22.01, float=0.25]
8 x MP7 Just Smile [Battle-Scarred, $0.53, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($324.45, 6.7x) 🎯
10.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.37 ($170.00, 3.5x)
26.7% → M4A1-S Black Lotus Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($6.99, 0.1x)
26.7% → Zeus x27 Olympus Well-Worn float 0.45 ($4.85, 0.1x)
26.7% → USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($4.56, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-22
🎰 Jackpot
P2000 Chainmail Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6710
Jackpot Price
$149.50
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$127.22
Collections
The Cobblestone Collection (x2)
The Dust 2 Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6200 (Weighted: 0.7645)
Input Cost
$22.28
Expected Value
$27.84
EV Ratio
124.9%
Input Items
2 x Sawed-Off Rust Coat [Well-Worn, $10.98, float=0.42]
8 x MAC-10 Palm [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → P2000 Chainmail Field-Tested float 0.17 ($149.50, 6.7x) 🎯
10.0% → MP9 Dark Age Field-Tested float 0.17 ($127.00, 5.7x)
26.7% → M4A1-S VariCamo Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.36, 0.0x)
26.7% → PP-Bizon Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($0.18, 0.0x)
26.7% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($0.16, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-10
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6708
Jackpot Price
$52.99
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$45.09
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.4360)
Input Cost
$7.90
Expected Value
$7.75
EV Ratio
98.1%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Water Sigil [Field-Tested, $3.51, float=0.25]
8 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Insomnia [Well-Worn, $0.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested float 0.19 ($52.99, 6.7x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Field-Tested float 0.22 ($16.93, 2.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Field-Tested float 0.35 ($1.70, 0.2x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.99, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Neoqueen Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.73, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Sakkaku Battle-Scarred float 0.46 ($0.70, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.60, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-22
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Fade Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.6707
Jackpot Price
$524.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$446.12
Collections
The Sport & Field Collection (x1)
The Recoil Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.8971)
Input Cost
$78.17
Expected Value
$92.76
EV Ratio
118.7%
Input Items
Glock-18 AXIA [Field-Tested, $42.98, float=0.25]
9 x P250 Visions [Battle-Scarred, $3.91, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Fade Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($524.29, 6.7x) 🎯
45.0% → USP-S Printstream Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($46.20, 0.6x)
45.0% → AWP Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.63 ($43.43, 0.6x)
Identified: 2026-05-24