🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7257
Jackpot Price
$645.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$556.65
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$88.96
Expected Value
$64.83
EV Ratio
72.9%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $88.69, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.61, 7.3x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.47, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.25, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7257
Jackpot Price
$645.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$556.65
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$88.96
Expected Value
$64.83
EV Ratio
72.9%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $88.69, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($645.61, 7.3x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.49, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.24, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-01
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7255
Jackpot Price
$287.50
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$247.87
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Dust 2 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.5080 (Weighted: 0.6420)
Input Cost
$39.63
Expected Value
$34.39
EV Ratio
86.8%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.14, float=0.13]
7 x Sawed-Off Snake Camo [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.05 ($287.50, 7.3x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.05 ($34.19, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.26 ($20.76, 0.5x)
23.3% → M4A1-S VariCamo Well-Worn float 0.39 ($0.36, 0.0x)
23.3% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.13, 0.0x)
23.3% → PP-Bizon Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3742)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.87
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.39, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.32, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.29, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$339.67
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$308.39
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8795)
Input Cost
$31.28
Expected Value
$28.16
EV Ratio
90.0%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.48, float=0.67]
8 x Galil AR O-Ranger [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($339.67, 10.9x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($55.57, 1.8x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.35 ($23.55, 0.8x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.57, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.26, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-19
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7239
Jackpot Price
$625.69
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$539.26
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3949)
Input Cost
$86.43
Expected Value
$62.86
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.07, float=0.13]
9 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($625.69, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.50, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.38, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-27
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7234
Jackpot Price
$629.63
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$542.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.04
Expected Value
$63.28
EV Ratio
72.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $86.68, float=0.13]
9 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($629.63, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.57, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.43, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.31, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-24
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7223
Jackpot Price
$287.33
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$260.81
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Boreal Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2260 (Weighted: 0.3510)
Input Cost
$26.52
Expected Value
$23.43
EV Ratio
88.4%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.14, float=0.13]
8 x R8 Revolver Leafhopper [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($287.33, 10.8x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($34.19, 1.3x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.14 ($25.65, 1.0x)
16.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.96, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.41, 0.0x)
16.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.15, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.14, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-16
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6160 (Weighted: 0.7971)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.48
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Sour Grapes [Battle-Scarred, $0.04, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.30, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.29, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.28, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.52 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.53
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.54, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.38, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7218
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.69
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.3949)
Input Cost
$87.60
Expected Value
$63.52
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.24, float=0.13]
9 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.52, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.34, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.27, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7217
Jackpot Price
$644.55
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$555.24
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4313)
Input Cost
$89.31
Expected Value
$64.78
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $89.04, float=0.13]
9 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($644.55, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.87, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.53, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-29
🎰 Jackpot
M4A1-S Welcome to the Jungle Well-Worn
Lottery Score
0.7212
Jackpot Price
$1336.87
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$1151.50
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x1)
The Revolution Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Classified 🌸
Avg Input Float
<0.4030 (Weighted: 0.4030)
Input Cost
$185.37
Expected Value
$174.36
EV Ratio
94.1%
Input Items
P90 Run and Hide [Field-Tested, $150.00, float=0.25]
9 x UMP-45 Wild Child [Well-Worn, $3.93, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → M4A1-S Welcome to the Jungle Well-Worn float 0.40 ($1336.87, 7.2x) 🎯
45.0% → M4A4 Temukau Field-Tested float 0.32 ($48.14, 0.3x)
45.0% → AK-47 Head Shot Well-Worn float 0.40 ($42.24, 0.2x)
Identified: 2026-06-19
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.62
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.19, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.53, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-31
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.59
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.07, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.48, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.16, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-29
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.59
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.03, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.57, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.53
EV Ratio
72.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.52, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.35, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.28, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.59
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.10, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.51, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.14, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.53
EV Ratio
72.4%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Tec-9 Citric Acid [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.54, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.35, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.29, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.28, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.27, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7210
Jackpot Price
$632.29
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$544.59
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Boreal Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4183)
Input Cost
$87.70
Expected Value
$63.62
EV Ratio
72.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $87.34, float=0.13]
9 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($632.29, 7.2x) 🎯
18.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.20, 0.0x)
18.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.55, 0.0x)
18.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.15, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.14, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-05-31