🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7909
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$193.67
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x3)
The Achroma Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.5060)
Input Cost
$45.33
Expected Value
$55.10
EV Ratio
121.6%
Input Items
3 x P2000 Pathfinder [Field-Tested, $15.04, float=0.25]
7 x MAC-10 Snow Splash [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.15 ($239.00, 5.3x) 🎯
15.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.20 ($127.27, 2.8x)
17.5% → P2000 Grip Tape Well-Worn float 0.38 ($0.24, 0.0x)
17.5% → Desert Eagle The Daily Deagle Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.23, 0.0x)
17.5% → AUG Creep Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.23, 0.0x)
17.5% → P90 Aeolian Light Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-30
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7862
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$193.40
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x3)
The Dust 2 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.5060)
Input Cost
$45.60
Expected Value
$55.19
EV Ratio
121.0%
Input Items
3 x P2000 Pathfinder [Field-Tested, $15.13, float=0.25]
7 x Tec-9 VariCamo [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.15 ($239.00, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.20 ($128.20, 2.8x)
23.3% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.27, 0.0x)
23.3% → PP-Bizon Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.12, 0.0x)
23.3% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.10, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-03
🎰 Jackpot
Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7860
Jackpot Price
$32.54
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$26.33
Collections
The Inferno Collection (x3)
The Ascent Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.9173)
Input Cost
$6.21
Expected Value
$5.56
EV Ratio
89.6%
Input Items
3 x P250 Gunsmoke [Battle-Scarred, $2.00, float=0.67]
7 x Dual Berettas Rose Nacre [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($32.54, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → Tec-9 Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($3.49, 0.6x)
14.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.23, 0.0x)
14.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.23, 0.0x)
14.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.23, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.23, 0.0x)
14.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.21, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-14
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7848
Jackpot Price
$81.31
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$76.13
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x2)
The Ascent Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3436)
Input Cost
$5.18
Expected Value
$5.40
EV Ratio
104.2%
Input Items
2 x MP7 Tall Grass [Field-Tested, $2.43, float=0.25]
8 x Zeus x27 Electric Blue [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.07 ($81.31, 15.7x) 🎯
5.0% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.21 ($7.86, 1.5x)
5.0% → FAMAS Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.15 ($6.97, 1.3x)
5.0% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.22 ($4.69, 0.9x)
16.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.81, 0.2x)
16.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.37, 0.1x)
16.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.36, 0.1x)
16.0% → P90 Reef Grief Field-Tested float 0.21 ($0.31, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7845
Jackpot Price
$32.48
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$26.27
Collections
The Inferno Collection (x3)
The Radiant Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.9370)
Input Cost
$6.21
Expected Value
$5.58
EV Ratio
89.9%
Input Items
3 x P250 Gunsmoke [Battle-Scarred, $2.00, float=0.67]
7 x P250 Sedimentary [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($32.48, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → Tec-9 Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.94 ($3.54, 0.6x)
11.7% → AWP Arsenic Spill Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.57, 0.1x)
11.7% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.70 ($0.25, 0.0x)
11.7% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.20, 0.0x)
11.7% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.19, 0.0x)
11.7% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.70 ($0.18, 0.0x)
11.7% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.17, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-16
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7827
Jackpot Price
$237.93
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$192.33
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x3)
The Harlequin Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.6400)
Input Cost
$45.60
Expected Value
$55.01
EV Ratio
120.6%
Input Items
3 x M249 Shipping Forecast [Field-Tested, $15.13, float=0.25]
7 x XM1014 XoooM [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.19 ($237.93, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.25 ($127.60, 2.8x)
17.5% → Galil AR Sky Mandala Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.35, 0.0x)
17.5% → Five-SeveN Fraise Crane Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.24, 0.0x)
17.5% → UMP-45 Warm Blooded Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.23, 0.0x)
17.5% → Zeus x27 Earth Mandala Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-11
🎰 Jackpot
Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7826
Jackpot Price
$32.40
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$26.19
Collections
The Inferno Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.9173)
Input Cost
$6.21
Expected Value
$5.59
EV Ratio
90.1%
Input Items
3 x P250 Gunsmoke [Battle-Scarred, $2.00, float=0.67]
7 x Tec-9 Garter-9 [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → Dual Berettas Anodized Navy Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($32.40, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → Tec-9 Brass Battle-Scarred float 0.92 ($3.62, 0.6x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($0.70, 0.1x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($0.35, 0.1x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.11, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.10, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Battle-Scarred float 0.55 ($0.10, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-15
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7816
Jackpot Price
$342.09
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$298.32
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Ascent Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.9370)
Input Cost
$43.77
Expected Value
$43.64
EV Ratio
99.7%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $14.52, float=0.67]
7 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($342.09, 7.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($52.90, 1.2x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Well-Worn float 0.37 ($39.99, 0.9x)
14.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.25, 0.0x)
14.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($0.20, 0.0x)
14.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.20, 0.0x)
14.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.20, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.61 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-10
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7801
Jackpot Price
$237.93
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$207.43
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.8882)
Input Cost
$30.50
Expected Value
$36.74
EV Ratio
120.5%
Input Items
2 x M249 Shipping Forecast [Field-Tested, $15.13, float=0.25]
8 x P250 Sedimentary [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.27 ($237.93, 7.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.35 ($127.60, 4.2x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.47, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.20, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.18, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.17, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.16, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-11
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7800
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$193.04
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3010 (Weighted: 0.5437)
Input Cost
$45.96
Expected Value
$55.19
EV Ratio
120.1%
Input Items
3 x M249 Shipping Forecast [Well-Worn, $15.25, float=0.42]
7 x Galil AR Acid Dart [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.16 ($239.00, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.21 ($127.53, 2.8x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.82, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.34, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.37 ($0.11, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.10, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.10, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-09
🎰 Jackpot
P2000 Silver Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7788
Jackpot Price
$223.05
Chance
5.0%
Multiplier
15.6x
Profit if Jackpot
$208.73
Collections
The Office Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.8871)
Input Cost
$14.32
Expected Value
$12.86
EV Ratio
89.8%
Input Items
G3SG1 Arctic Camo [Field-Tested, $14.05, float=0.25]
9 x Dual Berettas Rose Nacre [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
5.0% → P2000 Silver Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($223.05, 15.6x) 🎯
5.0% → MP7 Whiteout Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($30.48, 2.1x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.27, 0.0x)
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.18, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.18, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.17, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-26
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.7783
Jackpot Price
$646.73
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$563.63
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3910 (Weighted: 0.7993)
Input Cost
$83.10
Expected Value
$64.92
EV Ratio
78.1%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $82.83, float=0.13]
9 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($646.73, 7.8x) 🎯
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.72 ($0.28, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($0.26, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-09
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7775
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$208.26
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x2)
The Harlequin Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2840 (Weighted: 0.5013)
Input Cost
$30.74
Expected Value
$36.85
EV Ratio
119.9%
Input Items
2 x M249 Shipping Forecast [Well-Worn, $15.25, float=0.42]
8 x Tec-9 Banana Leaf [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.15 ($239.00, 7.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.20 ($127.53, 4.1x)
20.0% → Galil AR Sky Mandala Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.29, 0.0x)
20.0% → Five-SeveN Fraise Crane Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.25, 0.0x)
20.0% → UMP-45 Warm Blooded Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.23, 0.0x)
20.0% → Zeus x27 Earth Mandala Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-09
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.7770
Jackpot Price
$239.00
Chance
15.0%
Multiplier
5.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$192.86
Collections
The Gods (x10)
Monsters Collection (x3)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.4200 (Weighted: 0.8400)
Input Cost
$46.14
Expected Value
$55.17
EV Ratio
119.6%
Input Items
3 x M249 Shipping Forecast [Well-Worn, $15.31, float=0.42]
7 x P90 Wash me [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
15.0% → MP9 Pandora's Box Field-Tested float 0.25 ($239.00, 5.2x) 🎯
15.0% → UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth Field-Tested float 0.33 ($127.60, 2.8x)
17.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Battle-Scarred float 0.76 ($0.27, 0.0x)
17.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Battle-Scarred float 0.84 ($0.26, 0.0x)
17.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Well-Worn float 0.42 ($0.26, 0.0x)
17.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($0.25, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-10-11
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.7769
Jackpot Price
$1311.40
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$1142.60
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Snakebite Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.6700 (Weighted: 0.8220)
Input Cost
$168.80
Expected Value
$159.97
EV Ratio
94.8%
Input Items
2 x Galil AR Phoenix Blacklight [Battle-Scarred, $82.48, float=0.67]
8 x P250 Cyber Shell [Battle-Scarred, $0.48, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($1311.40, 7.8x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($255.49, 1.5x)
26.7% → MP9 Food Chain Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($4.54, 0.0x)
26.7% → Galil AR Chromatic Aberration Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($4.07, 0.0x)
26.7% → XM1014 XOXO Battle-Scarred float 0.74 ($3.70, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-24
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7759
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$628.85
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.9448)
Input Cost
$93.04
Expected Value
$72.42
EV Ratio
77.8%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.77, float=0.25]
9 x M4A4 Steel Work [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($721.89, 7.8x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.55, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.71 ($0.25, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Battle-Scarred float 0.47 ($0.21, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.71 ($0.19, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($0.18, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.57 ($0.17, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-01
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7750
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$628.74
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.8873)
Input Cost
$93.15
Expected Value
$72.42
EV Ratio
77.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.88, float=0.25]
9 x Galil AR O-Ranger [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.7x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.53, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.26, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.20, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.19, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.18, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.18, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-08
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7750
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$628.74
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Radiant Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.8873)
Input Cost
$93.15
Expected Value
$72.42
EV Ratio
77.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.88, float=0.25]
9 x Galil AR O-Ranger [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.7x) 🎯
15.0% → AWP Arsenic Spill Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.52, 0.0x)
15.0% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.25, 0.0x)
15.0% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.20, 0.0x)
15.0% → MP9 Shredded Battle-Scarred float 0.53 ($0.19, 0.0x)
15.0% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Battle-Scarred float 0.60 ($0.19, 0.0x)
15.0% → P250 Red Tide Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($0.17, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-07
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7741
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$628.64
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Ascent Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.9701)
Input Cost
$93.25
Expected Value
$72.38
EV Ratio
77.6%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $92.98, float=0.25]
9 x Nova Turquoise Pour [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.08 ($721.89, 7.7x) 🎯
18.0% → Desert Eagle Mint Fan Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% → MP9 Cobalt Paisley Battle-Scarred float 0.63 ($0.23, 0.0x)
18.0% → FAMAS Yeti Camo Battle-Scarred float 0.68 ($0.21, 0.0x)
18.0% → P2000 Royal Baroque Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.20, 0.0x)
18.0% → P90 Reef Grief Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.20, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-09-09
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear
Lottery Score
0.7730
Jackpot Price
$721.89
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
7.7x
Profit if Jackpot
$628.50
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Harlequin Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.6280 (Weighted: 0.8873)
Input Cost
$93.39
Expected Value
$72.41
EV Ratio
77.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Field-Tested, $93.12, float=0.25]
9 x MP5-SD Picnic [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Minimal Wear float 0.07 ($721.89, 7.7x) 🎯
22.5% → Galil AR Sky Mandala Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.28, 0.0x)
22.5% → Five-SeveN Fraise Crane Battle-Scarred float 0.58 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → UMP-45 Warm Blooded Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.23, 0.0x)
22.5% → Zeus x27 Earth Mandala Battle-Scarred float 0.59 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-31