🎰 High-Risk High-Reward
Lottery-ticket trade-ups: a small chance at a massive jackpot. Premium subscribers see these in 👑 high-risk-high-reward first; they appear here 3 hours later (same as our regular trade-ups feed).
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6920
Jackpot Price
$274.88
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$248.40
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2260 (Weighted: 0.3767)
Input Cost
$26.48
Expected Value
$22.19
EV Ratio
83.8%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Minimal Wear, $13.12, float=0.13]
8 x SG 553 Basket Halftone [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($274.88, 10.4x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($33.00, 1.2x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.15 ($21.21, 0.8x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.58, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.32, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.28 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.23 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.19 ($0.24, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-22
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6913
Jackpot Price
$321.06
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.4x
Profit if Jackpot
$290.10
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Radiant Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3639)
Input Cost
$30.96
Expected Value
$25.85
EV Ratio
83.5%
Input Items
2 x Glock-18 Groundwater [Field-Tested, $15.36, float=0.25]
8 x FAMAS Grey Ghost [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($321.06, 10.4x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($40.39, 1.3x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Minimal Wear float 0.15 ($22.78, 0.7x)
13.3% → AWP Arsenic Spill Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.46, 0.0x)
13.3% → Glock-18 Coral Bloom Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.31, 0.0x)
13.3% → P250 Red Tide Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.27, 0.0x)
13.3% → MP9 Shredded Field-Tested float 0.22 ($0.25, 0.0x)
13.3% → SSG 08 Blush Pour Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
13.3% → M4A1-S Rose Hex Field-Tested float 0.18 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-03
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6908
Jackpot Price
$54.30
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$46.44
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x2)
The Fracture Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.4360)
Input Cost
$7.86
Expected Value
$7.74
EV Ratio
98.5%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Water Sigil [Field-Tested, $3.45, float=0.25]
8 x StatTrak™ SSG 08 Mainframe 001 [Well-Worn, $0.12, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested float 0.19 ($54.30, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Field-Tested float 0.22 ($16.49, 2.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAG-7 Monster Call Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.93, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Tec-9 Brother Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.89, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Connexion Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.80, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MP5-SD Kitbash Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.78, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Allure Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.75, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-20
🎰 Jackpot
AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.6895
Jackpot Price
$1202.02
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$1027.70
Collections
The Havoc Collection (x2)
The Clutch Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5460 (Weighted: 0.7950)
Input Cost
$174.32
Expected Value
$149.45
EV Ratio
85.7%
Input Items
2 x SG 553 Hypnotic [Factory New, $85.00, float=0.05]
8 x Nova Wild Six [Battle-Scarred, $0.54, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AWP Silk Tiger Battle-Scarred float 0.48 ($1202.02, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → MAC-10 Hot Snakes Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($253.94, 1.5x)
26.7% → AUG Stymphalian Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($4.90, 0.0x)
26.7% → AWP Mortis Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($4.83, 0.0x)
26.7% → USP-S Cortex Battle-Scarred float 0.80 ($4.73, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-13
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6870
Jackpot Price
$54.00
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$46.14
Collections
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection (x2)
The Fever Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.3860 (Weighted: 0.4360)
Input Cost
$7.86
Expected Value
$7.90
EV Ratio
100.5%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ PP-Bizon Water Sigil [Field-Tested, $3.49, float=0.25]
8 x StatTrak™ MP9 Nexus [Well-Worn, $0.11, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ AK-47 Blue Laminate Field-Tested float 0.19 ($54.00, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Blind Spot Field-Tested float 0.22 ($16.85, 2.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Desert Eagle Serpent Strike Field-Tested float 0.25 ($1.22, 0.2x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Control Field-Tested float 0.35 ($1.01, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Zeus x27 Tosai Field-Tested float 0.31 ($1.01, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Nova Rising Sun Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.95, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Wave Breaker Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.88, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-05-21
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6858
Jackpot Price
$319.31
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$272.75
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3690 (Weighted: 0.5917)
Input Cost
$46.56
Expected Value
$37.62
EV Ratio
80.8%
Input Items
3 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $15.45, float=0.25]
7 x P90 Mustard Gas [Well-Worn, $0.03, float=0.42]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.05 ($319.31, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.05 ($32.26, 0.7x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.24 ($22.16, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Well-Worn float 0.44 ($0.98, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.39, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.14, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-08
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Carved Jade Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6854
Jackpot Price
$64.79
Chance
7.5%
Multiplier
9.1x
Profit if Jackpot
$57.70
Collections
The Ancient Collection (x3)
The Dust 2 Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.3297)
Input Cost
$7.09
Expected Value
$6.30
EV Ratio
88.9%
Input Items
3 x P2000 Panther Camo [Field-Tested, $2.27, float=0.25]
7 x Five-SeveN Orange Peel [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
7.5% → AUG Carved Jade Factory New float 0.07 ($64.79, 9.1x) 🎯
7.5% → Galil AR Dusk Ruins Field-Tested float 0.20 ($6.44, 0.9x)
7.5% → Tec-9 Blast From the Past Field-Tested float 0.21 ($5.40, 0.8x)
7.5% → FAMAS Dark Water Field-Tested float 0.15 ($5.06, 0.7x)
23.3% → M4A1-S VariCamo Field-Tested float 0.20 ($0.29, 0.0x)
23.3% → SG 553 Damascus Steel Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
23.3% → PP-Bizon Brass Field-Tested float 0.33 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-10
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6854
Jackpot Price
$324.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.9x
Profit if Jackpot
$276.79
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Achroma Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3760 (Weighted: 0.5390)
Input Cost
$47.28
Expected Value
$39.48
EV Ratio
83.5%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.69, float=0.67]
7 x MP5-SD Snow Splash [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($324.07, 6.9x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.04 ($44.47, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.22 ($24.27, 0.5x)
17.5% → Desert Eagle The Daily Deagle Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.30, 0.0x)
17.5% → AUG Creep Well-Worn float 0.43 ($0.30, 0.0x)
17.5% → P2000 Grip Tape Well-Worn float 0.40 ($0.29, 0.0x)
17.5% → P90 Aeolian Light Field-Tested float 0.35 ($0.27, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6847
Jackpot Price
$70.11
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$59.87
Collections
The eSports 2013 Collection (x2)
The Revolution Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5620 (Weighted: 0.8247)
Input Cost
$10.24
Expected Value
$10.62
EV Ratio
103.7%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Memento [Minimal Wear, $4.72, float=0.13]
8 x StatTrak™ SCAR-20 Fragments [Battle-Scarred, $0.10, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested float 0.16 ($70.11, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Orange DDPAT Battle-Scarred float 0.67 ($29.71, 2.9x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ M4A1-S Emphorosaur-S Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($1.22, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Umbral Rabbit Battle-Scarred float 0.62 ($0.81, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ P90 Neoqueen Battle-Scarred float 0.49 ($0.69, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MAC-10 Sakkaku Battle-Scarred float 0.69 ($0.63, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ R8 Revolver Banana Cannon Battle-Scarred float 0.82 ($0.61, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-15
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6844
Jackpot Price
$324.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$276.72
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3760 (Weighted: 0.5390)
Input Cost
$47.35
Expected Value
$39.56
EV Ratio
83.6%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.69, float=0.67]
7 x P2000 Marsh [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($324.07, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.04 ($44.47, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.22 ($24.27, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Well-Worn float 0.40 ($1.09, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.30 ($0.50, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.37 ($0.16, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-15
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6844
Jackpot Price
$324.07
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$276.72
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3760 (Weighted: 0.5251)
Input Cost
$47.35
Expected Value
$39.57
EV Ratio
83.6%
Input Items
3 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.69, float=0.67]
7 x P90 Mustard Gas [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($324.07, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.04 ($44.47, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.21 ($24.27, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Well-Worn float 0.39 ($1.09, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.50, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.36 ($0.16, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.15, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-16
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6844
Jackpot Price
$267.72
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$228.60
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x3)
The Boreal Collection (x7)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.5440 (Weighted: 0.7470)
Input Cost
$39.12
Expected Value
$32.65
EV Ratio
83.5%
Input Items
3 x Glock-18 Groundwater [Field-Tested, $12.97, float=0.25]
7 x Tec-9 Garter-9 [Battle-Scarred, $0.03, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.06 ($267.72, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.06 ($35.38, 0.9x)
10.0% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.30 ($21.16, 0.5x)
14.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Battle-Scarred float 0.56 ($0.77, 0.0x)
14.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Well-Worn float 0.41 ($0.43, 0.0x)
14.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.15, 0.0x)
14.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Well-Worn float 0.45 ($0.13, 0.0x)
14.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-23
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6836
Jackpot Price
$319.31
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.3x
Profit if Jackpot
$288.17
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Boreal Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2500 (Weighted: 0.4282)
Input Cost
$31.14
Expected Value
$25.17
EV Ratio
80.8%
Input Items
2 x Negev CaliCamo [Field-Tested, $15.45, float=0.25]
8 x MAC-10 Acid Hex [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.03 ($319.31, 10.3x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.03 ($32.26, 1.0x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.17 ($22.16, 0.7x)
16.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.32 ($0.83, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.39, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.13, 0.0x)
16.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.29 ($0.13, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.26 ($0.12, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-08-08
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6823
Jackpot Price
$645.49
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$550.89
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4933)
Input Cost
$94.60
Expected Value
$64.99
EV Ratio
68.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.33, float=0.13]
9 x MP7 Motherboard [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($645.49, 6.8x) 🎯
22.5% → AWP Acheron Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.20, 0.0x)
22.5% → P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.26, 0.0x)
22.5% → MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-22
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6823
Jackpot Price
$645.61
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$550.99
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4933)
Input Cost
$94.62
Expected Value
$65.01
EV Ratio
68.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.35, float=0.13]
9 x MP7 Motherboard [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($645.61, 6.8x) 🎯
22.5% → AWP Acheron Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.27, 0.0x)
22.5% → MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-23
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6823
Jackpot Price
$645.49
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$550.89
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The 2018 Nuke Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.4933)
Input Cost
$94.60
Expected Value
$65.00
EV Ratio
68.7%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.33, float=0.13]
9 x MP7 Motherboard [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($645.49, 6.8x) 🎯
22.5% → AWP Acheron Well-Worn float 0.41 ($1.29, 0.0x)
22.5% → MP5-SD Co-Processor Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.25, 0.0x)
22.5% → P250 Exchanger Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.24, 0.0x)
22.5% → P90 Facility Negative Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.23, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-22
🎰 Jackpot
MP9 Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6815
Jackpot Price
$324.07
Chance
6.7%
Multiplier
10.2x
Profit if Jackpot
$292.37
Collections
The Mirage Collection (x2)
The Boreal Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.3340 (Weighted: 0.4506)
Input Cost
$31.70
Expected Value
$26.50
EV Ratio
83.6%
Input Items
2 x SSG 08 Tropical Storm [Battle-Scarred, $15.69, float=0.67]
8 x Tec-9 Garter-9 [Field-Tested, $0.04, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
6.7% → MP9 Hot Rod Factory New float 0.04 ($324.07, 10.2x) 🎯
6.7% → UMP-45 Blaze Factory New float 0.04 ($44.47, 1.4x)
6.7% → MAC-10 Amber Fade Field-Tested float 0.18 ($24.27, 0.8x)
16.0% → AK-47 Wintergreen Field-Tested float 0.34 ($1.00, 0.0x)
16.0% → USP-S Tropical Breeze Field-Tested float 0.25 ($0.51, 0.0x)
16.0% → MP5-SD Gold Leaf Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.15, 0.0x)
16.0% → MAC-10 Poplar Thicket Field-Tested float 0.31 ($0.14, 0.0x)
16.0% → XM1014 Copperflage Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.13, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-06-15
🎰 Jackpot
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred
Lottery Score
0.6814
Jackpot Price
$340.97
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$290.93
Collections
The 2021 Mirage Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Restricted 🍇
Avg Input Float
<0.5860 (Weighted: 0.6360)
Input Cost
$50.04
Expected Value
$56.94
EV Ratio
113.8%
Input Items
2 x AUG Sand Storm [Field-Tested, $22.94, float=0.25]
8 x Five-SeveN Hybrid [Battle-Scarred, $0.52, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → Desert Eagle Fennec Fox Battle-Scarred float 0.51 ($340.97, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → MP5-SD Oxide Oasis Field-Tested float 0.35 ($183.22, 3.7x)
26.7% → M4A1-S Black Lotus Well-Worn float 0.45 ($7.10, 0.1x)
26.7% → Zeus x27 Olympus Well-Worn float 0.43 ($5.02, 0.1x)
26.7% → USP-S Jawbreaker Battle-Scarred float 0.64 ($4.85, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-06-12
🎰 Jackpot
StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested
Lottery Score
0.6813
Jackpot Price
$70.17
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$59.87
Collections
The eSports 2013 Collection (x2)
The Kilowatt Collection (x8)
Input Rarity
Mil-Spec 🌀
Avg Input Float
<0.5620 (Weighted: 0.8075)
Input Cost
$10.30
Expected Value
$10.84
EV Ratio
105.2%
Input Items
2 x StatTrak™ MAG-7 Memento [Minimal Wear, $4.75, float=0.13]
8 x StatTrak™ UMP-45 Motorized [Battle-Scarred, $0.10, float=0.67]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → StatTrak™ P250 Splash Field-Tested float 0.16 ($70.17, 6.8x) 🎯
10.0% → StatTrak™ Galil AR Orange DDPAT Battle-Scarred float 0.66 ($29.73, 2.9x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Glock-18 Block-18 Battle-Scarred float 0.54 ($1.35, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ M4A4 Etch Lord Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($1.05, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Sawed-Off Analog Input Battle-Scarred float 0.50 ($1.00, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ MP7 Just Smile Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.96, 0.1x)
16.0% → StatTrak™ Five-SeveN Hybrid Battle-Scarred float 0.81 ($0.94, 0.1x)
Identified: 2026-08-14
🎰 Jackpot
AUG Hot Rod Factory New
Lottery Score
0.6810
Jackpot Price
$643.51
Chance
10.0%
Multiplier
6.8x
Profit if Jackpot
$549.02
Collections
The Assault Collection (x1)
The Overpass 2024 Collection (x9)
Input Rarity
Industrial 💧
Avg Input Float
<0.2380 (Weighted: 0.2683)
Input Cost
$94.49
Expected Value
$64.70
EV Ratio
68.5%
Input Items
Five-SeveN Candy Apple [Minimal Wear, $94.22, float=0.13]
9 x Negev Wall Bang [Field-Tested, $0.03, float=0.25]
Possible Outcomes
10.0% → AUG Hot Rod Factory New float 0.02 ($643.51, 6.8x) 🎯
22.5% → Glock-18 Teal Graf Minimal Wear float 0.13 ($0.49, 0.0x)
22.5% → Nova Wurst Hölle Field-Tested float 0.27 ($0.39, 0.0x)
22.5% → MAC-10 Pipsqueak Field-Tested float 0.24 ($0.37, 0.0x)
22.5% → Galil AR Metallic Squeezer Field-Tested float 0.16 ($0.30, 0.0x)
Identified: 2026-07-26